Talavera de la Reina vs Navalcarnero – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Cambra J. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Solano R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Talavera de la Reina
41.8%
Draw
30.2%
Navalcarnero
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 29% 19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 29.6% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Talavera de la Reina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Talavera de la Reina's form might have worsened.
  • Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Navalcarnero's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Navalcarnero, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.19
    (1.77)
    3.06
    (3.13)
    3.29
    (4.58)
    8.8%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Navalcarnero (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Navalcarnero (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Recent matches Talavera is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Navalcarnero is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Navalcarnero could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Talavera is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Talavera won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Talavera won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina 1:4
    05.05.2024 Talavera de la Reina - Navalcarnero 0:1
    07.01.2024 Navalcarnero - Talavera de la Reina 0:0
    Latest results of Talavera de la Reina
    Latest results of Navalcarnero
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:232970
    2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:272470
    3Conquense341612642:301260
    4Getafe B34169955:352057
    5CD Coria34169950:381257
    6RSD Alcala341491142:39351
    7Tenerife B341551457:53450
    8Orihuela3412101245:43246
    9CF Intercity3411101342:45-343
    10Navalcarnero3411101340:42-243
    11Las Palmas B341191442:45-342
    12Ilicitano3410111351:56-541
    13Real Madrid C341171642:45-340
    14Quintanar del Rey341161736:43-739
    15Fuenlabrada349101535:44-937
    16Colonia M34971837:57-2034
    17Socuellamos347101734:55-2131
    18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:63-3330

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation