Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Miguel (Pen),
- 36', 2 - 0, Villoslada I. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Náxara
51.6% | Draw
27.3% | Alfaro
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náxara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Náxara - Alfaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.85) |
3.35 ↑
(3.25) |
4.33 ↑
(3.98) |
9.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Náxara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alfaro is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alfaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Náxara is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Náxara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Náxara won against Alfaro?
Náxara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Náxara?
Alfaro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náxara - Alfaro were as follows:
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 46:24 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Alaves B | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 32:15 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | UD Logrones | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 59:28 | 31 | 47 |
| 4 | Tudelano | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 46:32 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Utebo FC | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 47:35 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Ebro | 27 | 9 | 14 | 4 | 37:25 | 12 | 41 |
| 7 | Eibar B | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 32:31 | 1 | 41 |
| 8 | Sestao | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 30:26 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Amorebieta | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 27:25 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Gernika | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:33 | -5 | 38 |
| 11 | Basconia | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 35:36 | -1 | 32 |
| 12 | Naxara | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Ejea | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 30 |
| 14 | SD Logrones | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 19:32 | -13 | 30 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 27:46 | -19 | 29 |
| 16 | Beasain | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 25 |
| 17 | Alfaro | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 22:44 | -22 | 19 |
| 18 | Zaragoza B | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
