Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Rodriguez Miguel (Pen),
- 36', 2 - 0, Villoslada I. ⚽,
- 39', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Náxara
51.6% | Draw
27.3% | Alfaro
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Náxara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Náxara - Alfaro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↓
(1.85) |
3.35 ↑
(3.25) |
4.33 ↑
(3.98) |
9.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Náxara is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alfaro is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alfaro may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Náxara is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Náxara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Náxara won against Alfaro?
Náxara has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Náxara?
Alfaro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Náxara - Alfaro were as follows:
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union | 24 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 39:19 | 20 | 50 |
| 2 | Utebo FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 43:30 | 13 | 43 |
| 3 | Tudelano | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
| 4 | Alaves B | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 27:13 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Sestao | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | UD Logrones | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47:27 | 20 | 38 |
| 7 | Gernika | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Ebro | 24 | 7 | 13 | 4 | 30:21 | 9 | 34 |
| 9 | Amorebieta | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:25 | 1 | 33 |
| 10 | Eibar B | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 23:28 | -5 | 32 |
| 11 | Basconia | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 30 |
| 12 | SD Logrones | 24 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 18:23 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Naxara | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 27 |
| 14 | Ejea | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Mutilvera | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 23:38 | -15 | 26 |
| 16 | Beasain | 24 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 24:29 | -5 | 22 |
| 17 | Alfaro | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19:40 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Zaragoza B | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:46 | -27 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
