Result
2:1
19/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Spain | Footballclub |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 29', 1 - 1, Campos J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 85', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Alfaro
22.1% | Draw
24.8% | Náxara
53.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfaro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Alfaro - Náxara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.12 ↑
(3.86) |
3.68 ↑
(3.41) |
1.72 ↓
(1.81) |
9.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- Alfaro is Relegated to
- Alfaro is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Náxara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Alfaro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Náxara could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Alfaro won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Alfaro won against Náxara?
Alfaro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Náxara won against Alfaro?
Náxara has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alfaro - Náxara were as follows:
16.11.2025
Náxara
-
Alfaro
2:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | R. Union ✔ | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 62:35 | 27 | 66 |
| 2 | Alaves B ✔ | 33 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 61 |
| 3 | Utebo FC | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 56:41 | 15 | 58 |
| 4 | UD Logrones | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 70:33 | 37 | 58 |
| 5 | Tudelano ✔ | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 55:40 | 15 | 54 |
| 6 | Ebro | 33 | 11 | 16 | 6 | 42:33 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Amorebieta | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 47 |
| 8 | Sestao | 33 | 11 | 14 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 47 |
| 9 | Eibar B | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 38:40 | -2 | 46 |
| 10 | Gernika | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 34:40 | -6 | 44 |
| 11 | Basconia | 33 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 50:42 | 8 | 44 |
| 12 | Naxara | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 37:45 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | SD Logrones | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 22:39 | -17 | 37 |
| 14 | Ejea | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | Beasain ✔ | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 35:44 | -9 | 33 |
| 16 | Mutilvera ✔ | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31:63 | -32 | 30 |
| 17 | Zaragoza B ✔ | 33 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 30:56 | -26 | 28 |
| 18 | Alfaro ✔ | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 25 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
R. Union is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Alaves B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Tudelano is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Beasain is Relegated to
Mutilvera is Relegated to
Zaragoza B is Relegated to
Alfaro is Relegated to
