Swieqi United vs Naxxar Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
27/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Trophy - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Pahama N. ,
  • 33', 0 - 2, Vinicius Baiano ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', 0 - 3, Vitinho ,
  • 51', 0 - 4, Joao Moura (Penalty Awarded),
  • 87', 1 - 4, Bell L. ,
  • 89', 2 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Swieqi United
21.8%
Draw
24.6%
Naxxar Lions
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 24.2% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8% 24.2% 52.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Swieqi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Swieqi United - Naxxar Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.14
    (3.82)
    3.67
    (3.75)
    1.69
    (1.75)
    10.8%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swieqi United won 3.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Swieqi United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Naxxar is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Swieqi United won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Swieqi United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Swieqi United - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
    07.01.2023 Naxxar Lions - Swieqi United 1:3
    Latest results of Swieqi United
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1TarxienBye
    2ByeGhajnsielem
    3PembrokeBye
    4ByeValletta
    5HamrunBye
    6Victoria HotspursXaghra3 : 1
    7FguraBye
    8SirensSanta Lucia1 : 2
    9BirkirkaraBye
    10ByeVictoria Wanderers
    11PietaBye
    12ByeMtarfa
    13FlorianaBye
    14ByeMarsaxlokk
    15ZabbarBye
    16MelitaXewkija0 : 1
    17St. AndrewsVittoriosa3 : 0
    18ByeGzira
    19HiberniansBye
    20ByeGudja
    21ZebbugQala Saints0 : 5
    22ByeMgarr
    23MostaBye
    24ByeMqabba FC
    25ZurrieqBye
    26ByeKercem Ajax
    27QormiBalzan1 : 4
    28NadurBirzebbuga1 : 4
    29SliemaBye
    30ByeSwieqi
    31MarsaBye
    32ByeNaxxar

    1/16-finals
    1TarxienGhajnsielem4 : 0
    2PembrokeValletta0 : 1
    3HamrunVictoria Hotspurs5 : 0
    4FguraSanta Lucia2 : 1
    5BirkirkaraVictoria Wanderers3 : 1
    6PietaMtarfa5 : 0
    7FlorianaMarsaxlokk1 : 0
    8ZabbarXewkija1 : 0
    9St. AndrewsGzira0 : 2
    10HiberniansGudja3 : 1
    11Qala SaintsMgarr0 : 2
    12MostaMqabba FC2 : 1
    13ZurrieqKercem Ajax4 : 0
    14BalzanBirzebbuga1 : 2
    15SliemaSwieqi1 : 2
    16MarsaNaxxar0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1TarxienValletta0 : 1
    2HamrunFgura5 : 0
    3BirkirkaraPieta2 : 0
    4FlorianaZabbar0 : 1
    5GziraHibernians3 : 2
    6MgarrMosta0 : 3
    7ZurrieqBirzebbuga3 : 0
    8SwieqiNaxxar2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1VallettaHamrun
    2BirkirkaraZabbar
    3GziraMosta2 : 1
    4ZurrieqNaxxar

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2GziraTBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2