NEC FC vs Calvary – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
30
Corner Kicks
22
Total shots
126
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 0, Waibi C. ,

Chances of winning


NEC FC
74.6%
Draw
18.4%
Calvary
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 22.5% 15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7% 16.9% 20.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC FC's performance.
  • Calvary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Calvary might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-27.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC FC that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvary than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Calvary could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • NEC FC - Calvary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.25
    (1.45)
    5.08
    (4)
    13.32
    (5.79)
    7%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for NEC FC - Calvary?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. NEC will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NEC (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Calvary (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. NEC (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Calvary (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
    • NEC has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Calvary is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, NEC is seen as the favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of NEC FC
    20.11.2025 Villa - NEC FC 2:1
    08.11.2025 NEC FC - Bul 1:1
    01.11.2025 Mbarara City - NEC FC 0:1
    25.10.2025 Entebbe UPPC - NEC FC 1:0
    18.10.2025 NEC FC - Police 2:2
    Latest results of Calvary
    19.11.2025 Calvary - UPDF 0:1
    07.11.2025 Calvary - Entebbe UPPC 2:4
    22.10.2025 Maroons - Calvary 0:0
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vipers17125037:92841
    2Kitara17113325:121336
    3Kampala City18113426:161036
    4Villa17104326:101634
    5Entebbe UPPC18104418:11734
    6Police1895429:20932
    7NEC FC1869320:16427
    8BUL1865718:19-123
    9Maroons1746714:14018
    10Lugazi1846815:24-918
    11Express1746714:17-318
    12Buhimba18431115:38-2315
    13Mbarara City1736814:26-1215
    14URA SC1729614:19-515
    15UPDF18331212:26-1412
    16Calvary1705126:26-205

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League