Result
3:1
27/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Mutyaba M. ⚽,
- 20', Wasswa E. 🟨,
- 24', 2 - 0, Mucureezi P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kawawa A. ↓, Asiimwe J. ↑,
- 46', Kyeyune S. ↓, Ssenoga M. K. ↑,
- 51', Ajo E. ↓, Rwothomio C. ↑,
- 52', Ssebagala E. ↓, Mugalu A. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 0, Mugalu A. ⚽,
- 64', Kavuma M. ↓, Kasinde I. ↑,
- 64', Mutyaba M. ↓, Thembo I. ↑,
- 64', Mucureezi P. ↓, Ssali T. ↑,
- 74', Thembo I. 🟨,
- 74', Basangwa R. ↓, Ssebandeke E. ↑,
- 74', Wasswa E. ↓, Ssenjogera C. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 81', 3 - 1, Ssenjogera C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
NEC FC 54.2% | Draw 28.3% | Express 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NEC FC's form might have worsened.Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Express's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (+15.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Express, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
NEC FC - Express Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.68 ↑ (1.38) |
3.22 ↓ (3.95) |
5.19 ↓ (8.21) |
9.8% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 7).
- NEC is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Express is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match NEC is the unquestionable favorite.
- Our prediction for today's NEC to win the game is with odds 1.38.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches NEC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1.5:3.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams NEC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5
How many head-to-head matches has NEC FC won against Express?
NEC FC has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Express won against NEC FC?
Express has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC FC - Express were as follows:
03.10.2024
Express
-
NEC FC
2:1
21.12.2023
NEC FC
-
Express
2:5
Latest results of Express
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buhimba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | BUL | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Police | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Lugazi | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | URA SC | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Maroons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Express | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | UPDF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | NEC FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Villa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Calvary | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Vipers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League