NEC FC vs Express – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ugandan Super League NEC FC - Express
Result
3:1
27/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
77
Corner Kicks
13
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
37
Corner Kicks
13
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Mutyaba M. ,
  • 20', Wasswa E. 🟨,
  • 24', 2 - 0, Mucureezi P. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kawawa A. , Asiimwe J. ,
  • 46', Kyeyune S. , Ssenoga M. K. ,
  • 51', Ajo E. , Rwothomio C. ,
  • 52', Ssebagala E. , Mugalu A. ,
  • 55', 3 - 0, Mugalu A. ,
  • 64', Kavuma M. , Kasinde I. ,
  • 64', Mutyaba M. , Thembo I. ,
  • 64', Mucureezi P. , Ssali T. ,
  • 74', Thembo I. 🟨,
  • 74', Basangwa R. , Ssebandeke E. ,
  • 74', Wasswa E. , Ssenjogera C. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Ssenjogera C. ,

Chances of winning


NEC FC
54.2%
Draw
28.3%
Express
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.9% 23.1% 11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4% 21.9% 10.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • NEC FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that NEC FC's form might have worsened.
  • Express has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Express's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Express than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Express, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • NEC FC - Express Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.38)
    3.22
    (3.95)
    5.19
    (8.21)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: ) and 7).
    • NEC is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Express is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match NEC is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's NEC to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches NEC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:7 (average 1.5:3.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams NEC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC FC - Express were as follows:
    03.10.2024 Express - NEC FC 2:1
    21.12.2023 NEC FC - Express 2:5
    Latest results of NEC FC
    14.03.2025 Maroons - NEC FC 1:3
    07.03.2025 Wakiso Giants - NEC FC 0:0
    01.03.2025 NEC FC - Lugazi Municipal 2:0
    16.02.2025 Police - NEC FC 1:1
    Latest results of Express
    13.03.2025 Express - Police 1:2
    06.03.2025 Lugazi Municipal - Express 1:0
    03.03.2025 Express - Wakiso Giants 4:1
    15.02.2025 Villa - Express 1:0
    12.02.2025 Express - Bul 0:2
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buhimba43014:319
    2BUL42205:148
    3Kampala City42204:228
    4Police31205:415
    5Lugazi41214:315
    6Kitara31114:404
    7Entebbe UPPC31113:304
    8URA SC40402:204
    9Maroons31112:204
    10Express41123:4-14
    11UPDF31022:3-13
    12NEC FC20203:302
    13Mbarara City40224:6-22
    14Villa20112:3-11
    15Calvary30121:5-41
    16Vipers00000:000

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League