Mbarara City vs NEC FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ugandan Super League Mbarara City - NEC FC
Result
1:2
30/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ugandaUgandaSanyuka TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
710
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
21
Total shots
710
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
35
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Rwothomio C. 🟨,
  • 43', Ndalambi J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 54', 0 - 1, Mugalu A. ,
  • 57', Mucureezi P. , Ajo E. ,
  • 57', Mugalu A. , Ssebagala E. ,
  • 59', Jurua H. , Arigumaho S. ,
  • 65', Othieno S. , Odongo F. ,
  • 65', Hamza M. , Onzima P. ,
  • 65', Ndalambi J. , Busolo P. ,
  • 70', 🟨,
  • 80', Jarieko J. , Kavuma M. ,
  • 80', Kulanga E. , Mutyaba M. ,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Arigumaho S. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 2, Okao J. ,

Chances of winning


Mbarara City
15.2%
Draw
28%
NEC FC
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23.8% 29.2% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23% 28.2% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mbarara City's form might have worsened.
  • NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC FC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mbarara City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mbarara City - NEC FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.03
    (3.8)
    3.26
    (3.1)
    1.61
    (1.93)
    9.4%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
    • Mbarara City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
    • NEC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
    • In this match, NEC is a favorite.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - NEC FC were as follows:
    04.01.2025 NEC FC - Mbarara City 1:0
    09.02.2024 NEC FC - Mbarara City 2:0
    Latest results of Mbarara City
    Latest results of NEC FC
    25.04.2025 NEC FC - Mbale Heroes 2:0
    17.04.2025 Vipers - NEC FC 3:1
    10.04.2025 NEC FC - Kitara 2:1
    04.04.2025 UPDF - NEC FC 0:0
    27.03.2025 NEC FC - Express 3:1
    Ugandan Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Buhimba22003:036
    2Kampala City21103:214
    3Police21103:214
    4BUL21101:014
    5Express21012:203
    6Entebbe UPPC21012:203
    7Lugazi21014:313
    8UPDF21011:103
    9URA SC20201:102
    10Kitara10101:101
    11NEC FC10101:101
    12Mbarara City20111:2-11
    13Vipers00000:000
    14Villa10011:2-10
    15Maroons10010:1-10
    16Calvary20021:5-40

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Big League