Result
1:2
30/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uganda | Sanyuka TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Rwothomio C. 🟨,
- 43', Ndalambi J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, Mugalu A. ⚽,
- 57', Mucureezi P. ↓, Ajo E. ↑,
- 57', Mugalu A. ↓, Ssebagala E. ↑,
- 59', Jurua H. ↓, Arigumaho S. ↑,
- 65', Othieno S. ↓, Odongo F. ↑,
- 65', Hamza M. ↓, Onzima P. ↑,
- 65', Ndalambi J. ↓, Busolo P. ↑,
- 70', 🟨,
- 80', Jarieko J. ↓, Kavuma M. ↑,
- 80', Kulanga E. ↓, Mutyaba M. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Arigumaho S. ⚽,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Okao J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mbarara City
15.2% | Draw
28% | NEC FC
56.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mbarara City's form might have worsened.NEC FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC FC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mbarara City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC FC than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mbarara City - NEC FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.02 ↑
(3.8) |
3.26 ↑
(3.1) |
1.61 ↓
(1.93) |
9.5%
(10.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).
- Mbarara City has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games, wins - 0).
- NEC is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 3).
- In this match, NEC is a favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mbarara City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against NEC FC?
Mbarara City has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC FC won against Mbarara City?
NEC FC has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mbarara City - NEC FC were as follows:
04.01.2025
NEC FC
-
Mbarara City
1:0
09.02.2024
NEC FC
-
Mbarara City
2:0
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2024/25 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 30 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 49:15 | 34 | 69 |
| 2 | NEC FC | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 67 |
| 3 | BUL | 30 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 38:19 | 19 | 59 |
| 4 | URA SC | 30 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 42:23 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Kampala City | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 47:24 | 23 | 50 |
| 6 | Villa | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 44:30 | 14 | 45 |
| 7 | Kitara | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 45:20 | 25 | 44 |
| 8 | Maroons | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 29:32 | -3 | 43 |
| 9 | Express | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 30:45 | -15 | 39 |
| 10 | UPDF | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 39 |
| 11 | Police | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27:28 | -1 | 36 |
| 12 | Mbarara City | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 22:33 | -11 | 32 |
| 13 | Lugazi | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 19:33 | -14 | 31 |
| 14 | Bright Stars | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23:47 | -24 | 20 |
| 15 | Wakiso Giants | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 17:47 | -30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mbale Heroes | 30 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 13:69 | -56 | 10 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
