NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Result
2:2
20/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 17
  • Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
indonesiaIndonesiaKompas TV, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
japanJapanU-NEXT
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 4, Prima TV
russiaRussiaTV Start, TV Start Triumph
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, Arena Sport 3
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.052.02
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1519
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
78% (265/338)85% (438/518)
Yellow Cards
33
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.052.02
xG on target (xGOT)
2.341.05
Total shots
1519
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
913
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
34
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
2437
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
88
Passes
78% (265/338)85% (438/518)
Long passes
43% (27/63)37% (14/38)
Passes in final third
72% (105/146)80% (118/147)
Crosses
20% (3/15)32% (7/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.941.92
Throw-ins
1719
Fouls
88
Tackles
60% (9/15)44% (4/9)
Duels won
4447
Clearances
1625
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
64
xGOT faced
1.052.34
Goals prevented
-0.950.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Linssen B. ⚽,
  • 11', Linssen B. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Dolberg K. ⚽, Gaaei A. (A),
  • 44', 1 - 2, Godts M. ⚽, Regeer Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Steur S. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
  • 46', 2 - 2, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Linssen B. (A),
  • 59', Ouaissa S. 🟥,
  • 63', Linssen B. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
  • 64', Ogawa K. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
  • 72', Klaassen D. ↓, Bounida R. ↑,
  • 75', Onal B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
  • 75', Chery T. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
  • 78', Bounida R. 🟨,
  • 83', Gloukh O. ↓, Konadu D. ↑,
  • 88', Godts M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Rosa L. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Regeer Y. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Crettaz G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kaplan A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


NEC Nijmegen
44.5%		Draw
23.6%		Ajax
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.9% 25.4% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 25% 36.1%

NEC Nijmegen - Ajax Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.13 ↓
(2.47)		 4 ↑
(3.68)		 2.98 ↑
(2.56)		 5.6%
(6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Ajax?
  • Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). Ajax will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 25.9% – 65.7%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Ajax (2.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Ajax (2.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
    • In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.
    • Ajax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Nijmegen has had a series of away games.
    • Nijmegen will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: El Kachati Y. (Injury) Entius F. (Knee Injury) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Ajax: Berghuis S. (Groin Injury) McConnell J. (Health problems) Sutalo J. (Health problems) Weghorst W. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: Cillessen J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Ajax: Taylor K. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:49. (average 1.1:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:22. (average 0.6:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Ajax were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 0:3
    01.12.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 1:2
    18.02.2024 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 2:2
    03.12.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 1:2
    05.03.2023 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    16.12.2025 Amsterdamsche FC - NEC Nijmegen 1:3 ✺
    13.12.2025 Telstar - NEC Nijmegen 2:2 ✺
    07.12.2025 Volendam - NEC Nijmegen 2:3 ✺
    29.11.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 3:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Feyenoord - NEC Nijmegen 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Ajax
    17.12.2025 Excelsior Maassluis - Ajax 2:7 ✺
    14.12.2025 Ajax - Feyenoord 2:0 ✺
    10.12.2025 Qarabağ Agdam - Ajax 2:4 ✺
    06.12.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Ajax 1:3 ✺
    02.12.2025 Ajax - Groningen 2:0 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV21182164:253956
    2Feyenoord21123651:321939
    3Nijmegen20115452:341838
    4Ajax21108341:281338
    5Sparta Rotterdam21112827:34-735
    6AZ Alkmaar2195736:35132
    7Twente21710431:24731
    8Groningen2194828:26231
    9Zwolle2175930:43-1326
    10Heerenveen2067732:31125
    11Sittard21741031:36-525
    12Utrecht2066830:27324
    13Excelsior21651022:37-1523
    14G.A. Eagles20410631:34-322
    15FC Volendam21461122:36-1418
    16Heracles21521430:53-2317
    17NAC Breda21371123:34-1116
    18Telstar21371125:37-1216

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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