Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eredivisie
Football Dutch Eredivisie Ajax - NEC Nijmegen
Result
0:3
11/05/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 32
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 6
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
canadaCanadaSportsnet+, Sportsnet World, Sportsnet World Now
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyComo TV
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandPolsat Sport Premium 3
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaTV Start
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6, SportKlub 6
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailand3BB Sports 1, AIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeyExxen
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.75
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
229
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
88% (536/611)75% (247/330)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
2.440.75
xG on target (xGOT)
1.331.82
Total shots
229
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
101
Shots inside the Box
177
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
4615
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1212
Passes
88% (536/611)75% (247/330)
Long passes
56% (24/43)26% (15/57)
Passes in final third
78% (167/214)53% (30/57)
Crosses
21% (6/28)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.810.88
Throw-ins
1315
Fouls
1212
Tackles
44% (4/9)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5142
Clearances
1842
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.821.33
Goals prevented
-1.181.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 27', Marquez I. 🟨,
  • 30', Gaaei A. 🟨,
  • 37', van Crooij V. 🟨,
  • 38', Pereira B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Sutalo J. ↓, Janse D. ↑,
  • 59', Ouwejan T. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
  • 59', Traore B. ↓, Godts M. ↑,
  • 59', Rugani D. ↓, Fitz-Jim K. ↑,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Hansen S. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
  • 64', Fitz-Jim K. 🟨,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Pereira B. ⚽,
  • 69', Verdonk C. 🟨,
  • 73', Hato J. ↓, Wijndal O. ↑,
  • 73', Taylor K. ↓, Mokio J. ↑,
  • 80', Pereira B. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
  • 80', Sandler P. ↓, Lyratzis L. ↑,
  • 80', Linssen B. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
  • 82', 0 - 3, Ouaissa S. ⚽, Lyratzis L. (A),
  • 87', Hansen S. ↓, Schone L. ↑,
  • 90+3', Berghuis S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Ajax
77.4%		Draw
14.5%		NEC Nijmegen
8.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.2% 16.8% 10.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
    •

    Ajax - NEC Nijmegen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.23 ↓
    (1.29)    		 6.54 ↑
    (5.64)    		 11.71 ↑
    (9.4)    		 5.1%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Ajax - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ajax will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ajax: 84.6% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 13).
    • Ajax is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 3.
    • Ajax is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nijmegen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Ajax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Ajax is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Ajax: Baas Y. (Groin Injury) Edvardsen O. (Knee Injury) van den Boomen B. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Sandler P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: Hoedemakers M. (Inactive) Ogawa K. (Injury) Proper D. (Head Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ajax won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 49:16. (average 2.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ajax won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:11. (average 3:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ajax - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    01.12.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 1:2
    18.02.2024 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 2:2
    03.12.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 1:2
    05.03.2023 Ajax - NEC Nijmegen 1:0
    08.01.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Ajax 1:1
    Latest results of Ajax
    27.04.2025 Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺
    20.04.2025 Utrecht - Ajax 4:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Willem II - Ajax 1:2 ✺
    06.04.2025 Ajax - NAC Breda 3:1 ✺
    30.03.2025 PSV Eindhoven - Ajax 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    03.05.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Willem II 1:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Heerenveen - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺
    11.04.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Waalwijk 2:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Sparta Rotterdam - NEC Nijmegen 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - AZ Alkmaar 3:3 ✺
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sittard00000:000
    2Telstar00000:000
    3FC Volendam00000:000
    4Zwolle00000:000
    5PSV00000:000
    6Ajax00000:000
    7NAC Breda00000:000
    8Twente00000:000
    9Heerenveen00000:000
    10Feyenoord00000:000
    11Nijmegen00000:000
    12Utrecht00000:000
    13AZ Alkmaar00000:000
    14Sparta Rotterdam00000:000
    15Heracles00000:000
    16Excelsior00000:000
    17G.A. Eagles00000:000
    18Groningen00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

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