NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna Sittard – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/01/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Goffertstadion (Nijmegen).

NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 19
Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Indonesia	Kompas TV, Vidio
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.21
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Goal Attempts
14	9
Shots on Goal
7	2
Shots off Goal
7	7
Blocked Shots
0	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
2	1
Shots inside the Box
9	2
Shots outside the Box
5	7
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	3
Free Kicks
14	6
Offsides
1	0
Fouls
6	14
Yellow Cards
0	4
Throw-ins
18	16
Touches in the Opposition Box
18	8
Passes
86% (379/442)	87% (442/510)
Passes in the final third
71% (86/121)	79% (120/151)
Crosses
37% (10/27)	11% (2/18)
Tackles
45% (5/11)	70% (7/10)
Clearances Total
31	29
Interceptions
6	5

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
33', Rosier L. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Ouaissa S. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Rosier L. ⚽,
43', Fosso R. 🟨,
45', Grujcic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', Hoedemakers M. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
62', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Dijks M. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, van Crooij V. ⚽,
70', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
71', 3 - 1, Verdonk C. ⚽,
75', Halilovic A. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
75', Pinto I. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
75', Fosso R. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
77', Ouaissa S. ↓, Ouwejan T. ↑,
77', van Crooij V. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
80', Da Cruz A. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
82', 4 - 1, Ouwejan T. ⚽,
86', Sandler P. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
86', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,

Chances of winning

NEC Nijmegen
56.6%

Draw
24.7%

Fortuna Sittard
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

24.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

26.8%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.

Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.11)	3.86 ↓ (3.88)	5.01 ↑ (3.12)	5.5% (5.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard?

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 44.1% – 85.9%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 3.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Nijmegen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Nijmegen have a series of guest games.
In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.
There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Sierhuis K. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Demir O. (Injury)
Last 14 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 32:16 (average 2.3:1.1).
Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.4:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Fortuna Sittard?

NEC Nijmegen has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against NEC Nijmegen?

Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:

31.08.2024 Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen 0:3

02.04.2024 Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen 1:1

15.12.2023 NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard 4:1

28.05.2023 Fortuna Sittard - NEC Nijmegen 1:1

19.10.2022 NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard 3:2

Latest results of NEC Nijmegen

11.01.2025 Zwolle - NEC Nijmegen 0:1 ✺

05.01.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - NEC Nijmegen 2:2 ✺

22.12.2024 Willem II - NEC Nijmegen 4:1 ✺

18.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - NEC Nijmegen 1:0 ✺

15.12.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Sparta Rotterdam 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Fortuna Sittard

10.01.2025 Fortuna Sittard - Go Ahead Eagles 0:3 ✺

22.12.2024 Utrecht - Fortuna Sittard 2:5 ✺

17.12.2024 Quick Boys - Fortuna Sittard 3:1 ✺

14.12.2024 Fortuna Sittard - Waalwijk 3:2 ✺

07.12.2024 Heracles Almelo - Fortuna Sittard 2:2 ✺

Dutch Eredivisie Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sittard	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Telstar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	FC Volendam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Zwolle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	PSV	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	NAC Breda	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Twente	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Heerenveen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Feyenoord	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Nijmegen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Utrecht	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	AZ Alkmaar	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Heracles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Excelsior	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	G.A. Eagles	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Groningen	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
      Eredivisie (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie