Result
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
65.2% | Draw
19.3% | Fortuna Sittard
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.46 ↑
(1.4) |
4.9 ↑
(4.88) |
6.09 ↓
(6.63) |
5.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nijmegen is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 2.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Fortuna Sittard?
NEC Nijmegen has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against NEC Nijmegen?
Fortuna Sittard has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
31.08.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
3:2
19.01.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:1
31.08.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
02.04.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
15.12.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
