Result
2:3
28/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 25
- Referee: Lindhout A. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.44 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (415/495) | 67% (161/240) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 2.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 3.46 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (415/495) | 67% (161/240) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (173/220) | 68% (64/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.09 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (16/22) | 62% (16/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 61 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.46 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.46 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Chery T. ⚽,
- 21', Kaplan A. 🟨,
- 27', 1 - 1, Marquez I. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', Brittijn P. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Ihattaren M. ⚽, Limnios D. (A),
- 65', 1 - 3, Hubner J. ⚽, Ihattaren M. (A),
- 68', Ogawa K. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
- 68', Onal B. ↓, Misidjan V. ↑,
- 69', Kaplan A. ↓, Lebreton N. ↑,
- 72', Limnios D. ↓, Kasanwirjo N. ↑,
- 77', Ihattaren M. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
- 77', Brittijn P. ↓, Adewoye S. ↑,
- 79', Danilo Pereira ↓, Hansen-Aaroen I. ↑,
- 79', Chery T. ↓, Willumsson W. T. ↑,
- 84', Sierhuis K. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 84', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Linssen B. ⚽,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
66.8% | Draw
18.6% | Fortuna Sittard
14.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for NEC Nijmegen have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Fortuna Sittard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.4) |
5.08 ↑
(4.88) |
6.52 ↓
(6.63) |
5.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 67.8% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Fortuna Sittard (6.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): NEC Nijmegen will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 3 - 75%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nijmegen is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Branderhorst M.
(Inactive)
Lonwijk J.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Tunjic L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:20. (average 2.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:13. (average 2.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Fortuna Sittard?
NEC Nijmegen has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against NEC Nijmegen?
Fortuna Sittard has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
31.08.2025
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
3:2
19.01.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:1
31.08.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
02.04.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
15.12.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:1
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
