Result
4:1
19/01/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NETHERLANDS: Eredivisie - Round 19
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Indonesia | Kompas TV, Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (379/442) | 87% (442/510) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (86/121) | 79% (120/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (10/27) | 11% (2/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 70% (7/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 33', Rosier L. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Ouaissa S. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 1, Rosier L. ⚽,
- 43', Fosso R. 🟨,
- 45', Grujcic D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 62', Hoedemakers M. ↓, Linssen B. ↑,
- 62', Dahlhaus J. ↓, Dijks M. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, van Crooij V. ⚽,
- 70', Da Cruz A. 🟨,
- 71', 3 - 1, Verdonk C. ⚽,
- 75', Halilovic A. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 75', Pinto I. ↓, Mitrovic J. ↑,
- 75', Fosso R. ↓, van Ottele S. ↑,
- 77', Ouaissa S. ↓, Ouwejan T. ↑,
- 77', van Crooij V. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 80', Da Cruz A. ↓, Michut E. ↑,
- 82', 4 - 1, Ouwejan T. ⚽,
- 86', Sandler P. ↓, Nuytinck B. ↑,
- 86', Ogawa K. ↓, Shiogai K. ↑,
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
56.6% | Draw
24.7% | Fortuna Sittard
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in NEC Nijmegen's performance.Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fortuna Sittard might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with NEC Nijmegen that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fortuna Sittard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.11) |
3.86 ↓
(3.88) |
5.01 ↑
(3.12) |
5.5%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 13 - 65%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 44.1% – 85.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Nijmegen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Nijmegen have a series of guest games.
- In this match Nijmegen is a favorite.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Sierhuis K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Demir O.
(Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Nijmegen won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 32:16 (average 2.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Nijmegen won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19:12 (average 2.4:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Fortuna Sittard?
NEC Nijmegen has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against NEC Nijmegen?
Fortuna Sittard has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
31.08.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
0:3
02.04.2024
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
15.12.2023
NEC Nijmegen
-
Fortuna Sittard
4:1
28.05.2023
Fortuna Sittard
-
NEC Nijmegen
1:1
19.10.2022
NEC Nijmegen
-
Fortuna Sittard
3:2
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Zwolle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | PSV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 3 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 4 | Utrecht | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Feyenoord | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 8 | Sittard | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | FC Volendam | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Twente | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 14 | Groningen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | Heracles | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 17 | Excelsior | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Telstar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
