Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 8
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Indonesia | Kompas TV |
Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (297/374) | 79% (275/348) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.88 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (297/374) | 79% (275/348) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (35/67) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (74/115) | 67% (76/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (8/39) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.86 | 0.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.86 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Suray M. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, De Busser J. (Own goal),
- 43', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', Linthorst E. ↓, Salah Rahmouni Y. ↑,
- 65', Margaret R. ↓, Pettersson O. ↑,
- 65', Linssen B. ↓, Nejasmic D. ↑,
- 69', Nejasmic D. 🟨,
- 74', Misidjan V. ↓, Sandler P. ↑,
- 74', Ouaissa S. ↓, Dasa E. ↑,
- 77', Meulensteen M. ↓, Adelgaard A. ↑,
- 77', Suray M. ↓, Stokkers F. ↑,
- 83', James D. ↓, Goudmijn K. ↑,
- 85', Sandler P. 🟨,
- 85', Sandler P. 🟨,
- 87', Chery T. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Nauber G. ⚽, Breum J. (A),
Chances of winning
Go Ahead Eagles 34.1% | Draw 24.7% | NEC Nijmegen 41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Go Ahead Eagles's form might have worsened.NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.95 ↑ (2.25) |
3.98 ↓ (4) |
2.36 ↓ (2.7) |
1.5% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Dasa E.
(Inactive)
Entius F.
(Inactive)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Sandler P.
(Inactive)
Willems J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Go Ahead: Edvardsen V.
(Inactive)
Saathof P.
(Knee Injury)
Tengstedt S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Ouwejan T.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Go Ahead Eagles won against NEC Nijmegen?
Go Ahead Eagles has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Go Ahead Eagles?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
09.03.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2:3
07.12.2024
Go Ahead Eagles
-
NEC Nijmegen
5:0
23.05.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
1:2
28.01.2024
Go Ahead Eagles
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:2
17.01.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Go Ahead Eagles
2:1
Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25:6 | 19 | 25 |
| 2 | PSV | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 22 |
| 3 | AZ Alkmaar | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:12 | 7 | 18 |
| 4 | Ajax | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17:12 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Groningen | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Nijmegen | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 25:17 | 8 | 14 |
| 7 | Twente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 3 | 14 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 13 |
| 9 | Sittard | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:22 | -9 | 13 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 10 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 | NAC Breda | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 | Telstar | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Volendam | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Heracles | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7:27 | -20 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie