Go Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaKompas TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.88
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
79% (297/374)79% (275/348)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.791.86
Total shots
817
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
32
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
79% (297/374)79% (275/348)
Long passes
52% (35/67)38% (23/61)
Passes in final third
64% (74/115)67% (76/113)
Crosses
21% (8/39)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.88
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
1318
Tackles
73% (8/11)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
3242
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.860.79
Goals prevented
1.86-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Suray M. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, De Busser J. (Own goal),
  • 43', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Linthorst E. , Salah Rahmouni Y. ,
  • 65', Margaret R. , Pettersson O. ,
  • 65', Linssen B. , Nejasmic D. ,
  • 69', Nejasmic D. 🟨,
  • 74', Misidjan V. , Sandler P. ,
  • 74', Ouaissa S. , Dasa E. ,
  • 77', Meulensteen M. , Adelgaard A. ,
  • 77', Suray M. , Stokkers F. ,
  • 83', James D. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 85', Sandler P. 🟨,
  • 85', Sandler P. 🟨,
  • 87', Chery T. , Fonville D. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Nauber G. , Breum J. (A),

Chances of winning


Go Ahead Eagles
34.1%
Draw
24.7%
NEC Nijmegen
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 23.5% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 23.2% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Go Ahead Eagles's form might have worsened.
  • NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.25)
    3.98
    (4)
    2.36
    (2.7)
    1.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 19.1%73.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Go Ahead (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Go Ahead (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Go Ahead (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Dasa E. (Inactive) Entius F. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Sandler P. (Inactive) Willems J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Go Ahead: Edvardsen V. (Inactive) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Tengstedt S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: Ouwejan T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    09.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 2:3
    07.12.2024 Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen 5:0
    23.05.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2
    28.01.2024 Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen 2:2
    17.01.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 2:1
    Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Dutch Eredivisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSV ✔ 30242484:404474
    2Feyenoord30167762:412155
    3Nijmegen30159672:482454
    4Twente301411551:321953
    5Ajax301312557:372051
    6AZ Alkmaar301461052:45748
    7Utrecht301281049:361344
    8Heerenveen301281053:50344
    9Groningen301261242:37542
    10Sparta Rotterdam301261235:49-1442
    11G.A. Eagles308121050:45536
    12Sittard301061444:55-1136
    13Zwolle308101240:60-2034
    14FC Volendam30771631:50-1928
    15Excelsior30771631:51-2028
    16Telstar30691539:52-1327
    17NAC Breda305101530:51-2125
    18Heracles30542134:77-4319

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
          Eredivisie (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    PSV is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )