Go Ahead Eagles vs NEC Nijmegen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
05/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eredivisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
indonesiaIndonesiaKompas TV
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.88
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
114
Passes
79% (297/374)79% (275/348)
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.750.88
xG on target (xGOT)
0.791.86
Total shots
817
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
32
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
114
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1813
Passes
79% (297/374)79% (275/348)
Long passes
52% (35/67)38% (23/61)
Passes in final third
64% (74/115)67% (76/113)
Crosses
21% (8/39)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.620.88
Throw-ins
2214
Fouls
1318
Tackles
73% (8/11)81% (13/16)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
3242
Interceptions
36
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
71
xGOT faced
1.860.79
Goals prevented
1.86-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 29', Suray M. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, De Busser J. (Own goal),
  • 43', Ouaissa S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', Linthorst E. , Salah Rahmouni Y. ,
  • 65', Margaret R. , Pettersson O. ,
  • 65', Linssen B. , Nejasmic D. ,
  • 69', Nejasmic D. 🟨,
  • 74', Misidjan V. , Sandler P. ,
  • 74', Ouaissa S. , Dasa E. ,
  • 77', Meulensteen M. , Adelgaard A. ,
  • 77', Suray M. , Stokkers F. ,
  • 83', James D. , Goudmijn K. ,
  • 85', Sandler P. 🟨,
  • 85', Sandler P. 🟨,
  • 87', Chery T. , Fonville D. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Nauber G. , Breum J. (A),

Chances of winning


Go Ahead Eagles
34.1%
Draw
24.7%
NEC Nijmegen
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.7% 23.5% 34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 23.2% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Go Ahead Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Go Ahead Eagles's form might have worsened.
  • NEC Nijmegen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting NEC Nijmegen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Go Ahead Eagles than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Go Ahead Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for NEC Nijmegen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.95
    (2.25)
    3.98
    (4)
    2.36
    (2.7)
    1.5%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Go Ahead will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Go Ahead: 19.1%73.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Go Ahead (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Go Ahead (2.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Go Ahead (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Go Ahead (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Go Ahead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Nijmegen: Dasa E. (Inactive) Entius F. (Inactive) Nuytinck B. (Knee Injury) Sandler P. (Inactive) Willems J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Go Ahead: Edvardsen V. (Inactive) Saathof P. (Knee Injury) Tengstedt S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nijmegen: Ouwejan T. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Go Ahead won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Go Ahead won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 2.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
    09.03.2025 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 2:3
    07.12.2024 Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen 5:0
    23.05.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 1:2
    28.01.2024 Go Ahead Eagles - NEC Nijmegen 2:2
    17.01.2024 NEC Nijmegen - Go Ahead Eagles 2:1
    Latest results of Go Ahead Eagles
    Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
    Draw
    Relegation - Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1RodaWaalwijk1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2ByeWillem II
    3Den BoschAlmere City0 : 3, 2 : 3
    4ByeDe Graafschap

    Quarter-finals
    1WaalwijkWillem II
    2Almere CityDe Graafschap

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2

    Final
    1TBD #1Bye