Necaxa vs Puebla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Sanchez G. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Total shots
912
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Garcia M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Torres A. , Ramos M. ,
  • 66', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 67', Villegas Aguilar R. I. 🟨,
  • 71', Suarez P. , Solis J. ,
  • 72', Martinez D. 🟥,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 73', Estrada N. 🟨,
  • 79', Vega Garcia B. , Medellin Z. ,
  • 85', Garcia M. , Lopez Roque I. S. ,
  • 86', Martinez L. 🟨,
  • 89', Estrada N. , Gallardo R. ,
  • 89', Barnett J. , Burks T. ,
  • 90+4', Martinez L. , Rojas S. ,
  • 90+4', De Alba L. , Desales M. ,

Chances of winning


Necaxa
45.8%
Draw
27.4%
Puebla
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 20.1% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 15.4% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa's form might have worsened.
  • Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puebla's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puebla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Necaxa - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.43)
    3.46
    (4.5)
    3.53
    (5.46)
    5.5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Necaxa - Puebla?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Puebla (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Necaxa (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 50%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
    • Necaxa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Puebla is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Necaxa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Necaxa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Puebla were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Necaxa - Puebla 1:1
    13.10.2024 Puebla - Necaxa 2:0
    11.02.2024 Puebla - Necaxa 1:0
    06.08.2023 Necaxa - Puebla 2:1
    05.02.2023 Puebla - Necaxa 2:0
    Latest results of Necaxa
    04.09.2025 Santos Laguna - Necaxa 1:2
    30.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 1:0
    18.08.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 3:3
    09.08.2025 Necaxa - Club America 0:4
    Latest results of Puebla
    25.08.2025 Puebla - Club León 0:2
    18.08.2025 Mazatlan - Puebla 1:1
    13.08.2025 Club America - Puebla 3:0
    09.08.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:2
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W1082029:42526
    2Pachuca W1072132:42823
    3Guadalajara Chivas W971117:51222
    4Toluca W1071222:111122
    5Club America W963023:51821
    6Tigres UANL W1063122:91321
    7UNAM Pumas W1052314:14017
    8Cruz Azul W1043321:15615
    9Club Tijuana W1043317:16115
    10Juarez W1043312:13-115
    11Mazatlan FC W1043314:16-215
    12Club Leon W1033416:16012
    13Puebla W102086:31-256
    14Santos Laguna W101277:16-95
    15Atlas W1012716:26-105
    16Atl. San Luis W101279:25-165
    17Necaxa W101094:35-313
    18Queretaro W100198:28-201

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