Necaxa vs Puebla – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
08/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Sanchez G. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
14
Red Cards
01
Total shots
912
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
57
Corner Kicks
54
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 19', 0 - 1, Garcia M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Torres A. , Ramos M. ,
  • 66', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 67', Villegas Aguilar R. I. 🟨,
  • 71', Suarez P. , Solis J. ,
  • 72', Martinez D. 🟥,
  • 72', 🟨,
  • 73', Estrada N. 🟨,
  • 79', Vega Garcia B. , Medellin Z. ,
  • 85', Garcia M. , Lopez Roque I. S. ,
  • 86', Martinez L. 🟨,
  • 89', Estrada N. , Gallardo R. ,
  • 89', Barnett J. , Burks T. ,
  • 90+4', Martinez L. , Rojas S. ,
  • 90+4', De Alba L. , Desales M. ,

Chances of winning


Necaxa
45.8%
Draw
27.4%
Puebla
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.3% 20.1% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4% 15.4% 21.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Necaxa's form might have worsened.
  • Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puebla's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puebla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Necaxa - Puebla Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.43)
    3.46
    (4.5)
    3.53
    (5.46)
    5.5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Necaxa - Puebla?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Puebla (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Necaxa (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Necaxa (votes: 1 - 50%). Puebla (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1.
    • Necaxa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Puebla is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Necaxa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Necaxa is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:10. (average 2:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Puebla were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Necaxa - Puebla 1:1
    13.10.2024 Puebla - Necaxa 2:0
    11.02.2024 Puebla - Necaxa 1:0
    06.08.2023 Necaxa - Puebla 2:1
    05.02.2023 Puebla - Necaxa 2:0
    Latest results of Necaxa
    04.09.2025 Santos Laguna - Necaxa 1:2
    30.08.2025 Tijuana - Necaxa 1:0
    18.08.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 3:3
    09.08.2025 Necaxa - Club America 0:4
    Latest results of Puebla
    25.08.2025 Puebla - Club León 0:2
    18.08.2025 Mazatlan - Puebla 1:1
    13.08.2025 Club America - Puebla 3:0
    09.08.2025 Puebla - UNAM 1:2
    Mexican Liga MX Women Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Monterrey W13103034:43033
    2Pachuca W1393137:63130
    3Tigres UANL W1393134:102430
    4Club America W1393134:102430
    5Toluca W1391331:161528
    6Guadalajara Chivas W1283121:81327
    7Cruz Azul W1373327:151224
    8Club Tijuana W1363422:19321
    9Juarez W1263316:13321
    10Mazatlan FC W1353517:20-318
    11UNAM Pumas W1352618:22-417
    12Club Leon W1343623:23015
    13Atl. San Luis W1323812:28-169
    14Atlas W1322917:33-168
    15Puebla W1320116:38-326
    16Santos Laguna W1312108:24-165
    17Necaxa W1311116:44-384
    18Queretaro W1301128:38-301

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