Result
1:0
19/10/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 25
- Referee: Rahmonov D. (Uzb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Uzbekistan | Futbol TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Iskanderov J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Sanchez R. 🟨,
- 60', Sobirzhonov A. ↓, Abdurazzakov N. ↑,
- 60', Papava G. ↓, Sentoku A. ↑,
- 63', Odilov A. ↓, Jovovic V. ↑,
- 63', Yuldoshev I. ↓, Ruziev K. ↑,
- 65', Kholmurodov A. ↓, Abdurakhmonov A. ↑,
- 71', Akhrorov S. ↓, Mukimzhonov A. ↑,
- 72', Ergashev B. 🟨,
- 73', Iskanderov J. ↓, Marusic Z. ↑,
- 81', Ulmasaliev A. 🟨,
- 82', Tukhtakhuzhaev I. 🟨,
- 86', Gofurov A. 🟨,
- 88', Rustamov O. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kojo J. ↓, Nematzhonov S. ↑,
- 90+3', Ismoilov A. ↓, Toshmirzaev B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Neftchi Fargona
59.2% | Draw
24.2% | AGMK
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neftchi Fargona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)AGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AGMK than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Neftchi Fargona - AGMK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.65) |
3.85 ↑
(3.73) |
5.62 ↑
(4.58) |
7.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 2.
- Neftchi Fargona is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- AGMK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Neftchi Fargona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Neftchi Fargona is the team to beat.
- We predict that Neftchi Fargona will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Neftchi Fargona won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Neftchi Fargona won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Neftchi Fargona won against AGMK?
Neftchi Fargona has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AGMK won against Neftchi Fargona?
AGMK has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neftchi Fargona - AGMK were as follows:
19.05.2025
AGMK
-
Neftchi Fargona
2:2
28.10.2024
AGMK
-
Neftchi Fargona
1:2
26.05.2024
Neftchi Fargona
-
AGMK
1:0
26.08.2023
AGMK
-
Neftchi Fargona
1:1
31.03.2023
Neftchi Fargona
-
AGMK
2:2
Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
Uzbek League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nasaf Qarshi | 26 | 16 | 9 | 1 | 50:20 | 30 | 57 |
| 2 | Neftchi Fargona | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 42:19 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Pakhtakor | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 53:20 | 33 | 52 |
| 4 | Din. Samarkand | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 39:28 | 11 | 47 |
| 5 | Bunyodkor | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 42:31 | 11 | 46 |
| 6 | OKMK | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
| 7 | Navbahor Namangan | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Qizilqum | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 22:33 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Sogdiana | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Kokand 1912 | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 22:38 | -16 | 29 |
| 11 | Andijan | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 32:39 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 19:28 | -9 | 25 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:31 | -3 | 24 |
| 14 | Buxoro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 27:45 | -18 | 24 |
| 15 | Mashal Muborak | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 19:45 | -26 | 23 |
| 16 | Shortan Guzor | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 19:49 | -30 | 12 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Super League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro Liga
