Pakhtakor vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uzbek League Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona
Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 21
  • Referee: Kasimov N. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
28
Red Cards
10
Total shots
810
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Turgunboev A. ,
  • 24', Flamarion 🟥,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Alibaev I. , Iskanderov J. (A),
  • 45+7', 2 - 1, Sergeev I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Odilov A. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 62', Erkinov K. , Adkhamzoda U. ,
  • 68', Kojo J. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 76', Yuldoshev I. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 78', Turgunboev A. , Khamdamov D. ,
  • 83', Sergeev I. , Riascos B. ,
  • 83', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Ibrokhimov I. ,

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
45.9%
Draw
28.8%
Neftchi Fargona
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.2% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 28.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.09)
    3.23
    (3.3)
    3.68
    (3.42)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Pakhtakor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor 0:4
    13.09.2024 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    01.07.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor 0:2
    05.08.2023 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 0:1
    18.06.2023 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 1:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    26.08.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 3:1
    22.08.2025 Andijan - Pakhtakor 2:6
    05.08.2025 Pakhtakor - AGMK 1:2
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nasaf Qarshi26169150:203057
    2Neftchi Fargona26176342:192357
    3Pakhtakor26164653:203352
    4Din. Samarkand25138439:281147
    5Bunyodkor261210442:311146
    6OKMK26125936:29741
    7Navbahor Namangan26107939:33637
    8Qizilqum26881022:33-1132
    9Sogdiana26871132:33-131
    10Kokand 191226851322:38-1629
    11Andijan24771032:39-728
    12Termez Surkhon25671219:28-925
    13Xorazm Urganch26661428:31-324
    14Buxoro26661427:45-1824
    15Mashal Muborak26651519:45-2623
    16Shortan Guzor26261819:49-3012

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