Pakhtakor vs Neftchi Fargona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 21
  • Referee: Kasimov N. (Uzb)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
28
Red Cards
10
Total shots
810
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
56
Corner Kicks
28
Goalkeeper Saves
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Turgunboev A. ,
  • 24', Flamarion 🟥,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Alibaev I. , Iskanderov J. (A),
  • 45+7', 2 - 1, Sergeev I. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Odilov A. , Jovovic V. ,
  • 62', Erkinov K. , Adkhamzoda U. ,
  • 68', Kojo J. , Marusic Z. ,
  • 76', Yuldoshev I. , Toshmirzaev B. ,
  • 78', Turgunboev A. , Khamdamov D. ,
  • 83', Sergeev I. , Riascos B. ,
  • 83', Sobirkhuzhaev S. , Ibrokhimov I. ,

Chances of winning


Pakhtakor
45.9%
Draw
28.8%
Neftchi Fargona
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 28.2% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 28.7% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Pakhtakor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Neftchi Fargona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pakhtakor than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftchi Fargona than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (2.09)
    3.23
    (3.3)
    3.68
    (3.42)
    7.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Neftchi Fargona (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 2.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Pakhtakor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pakhtakor won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Pakhtakor won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.6:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor 0:4
    13.09.2024 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 0:0
    01.07.2024 Neftchi Fargona - Pakhtakor 0:2
    05.08.2023 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 0:1
    18.06.2023 Pakhtakor - Neftchi Fargona 1:2
    Latest results of Pakhtakor
    26.08.2025 Pakhtakor - Mashal Mubarek 3:1
    22.08.2025 Andijan - Pakhtakor 2:6
    05.08.2025 Pakhtakor - AGMK 1:2
    Latest results of Neftchi Fargona
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Andijan11004:043
    2Neftchi Fargona11003:033
    3Lok. Tashkent11003:123
    4Pakhtakor11002:023
    5Navbahor Namangan11002:113
    6Bunyodkor11001:013
    7Buxoro11001:013
    8Nasaf Qarshi11001:013
    9Din. Samarkand10011:2-10
    10OKMK10010:1-10
    11Xorazm Urganch10010:1-10
    12Kokand 191210010:1-10
    13Termez Surkhon10011:3-20
    14Qizilqum10010:2-20
    15Mashal Muborak10010:3-30
    16Sogdiana10010:4-40

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