Orenburzhye vs NOVA Novokuybyshevsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
05/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Superleague - Round 16

Chances of winning


Orenburzhye
47.5%
NOVA Novokuybyshevsk
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburzhye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • NOVA Novokuybyshevsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburzhye than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for NOVA Novokuybyshevsk than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Orenburzhye - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.96
    (1.86)

    1.78
    (1.87)
    7.4%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 184.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Orenburg won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • NOVA Novokuybyshevsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Neftyanik Orenburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Neftyanik Orenburg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 36:48. (average 1.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neftyanik Orenburg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.7:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburzhye - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk were as follows:
    18.10.2025 NOVA Novokuybyshevsk - Orenburzhye 3:1
    20.02.2025 NOVA Novokuybyshevsk - Orenburzhye 2:3
    16.11.2024 Orenburzhye - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk 1:3
    30.08.2024 NOVA Novokuybyshevsk - Orenburzhye 2:3
    03.03.2024 Orenburzhye - NOVA Novokuybyshevsk 2:3
    Latest results of Orenburzhye
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Zenit Kazan (1)Bye
    2Novokuybyshevsk (8)Novyi Urengoy (9)3 : 1
    3Din. Moscow (3)Bye
    4Dinamo-Lo (6)Gorky N. Novgorod (11)3 : 2
    5Zenit St. Petersburg (2)Bye
    6Krasnoyarsk (7)Surgut region (10)3 : 0
    7Novosibirsk (4)Bye
    8Belgorod (5)Ufa (12)3 : 0