Adama City vs Negele Arsi Ketema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 25

Match Stats


Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
3	8
Corner kicks
2	3
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
3	8
Shots off target
4	4
Corner kicks
2	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Chances of winning

Adama City
28.4%

Draw
32.3%

Negele Arsi Ketema
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

31.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29.8%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	2.33 ↑ (2.31)	9.5% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).
Recent performances by Adama City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Negele Arsi Ketema is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Negele Arsi Ketema could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Adama City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Adama City won against Negele Arsi Ketema?

Adama City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Adama City?

Negele Arsi Ketema has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema were as follows:

20.11.2025 Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City 2:1

Latest results of Adama City

14.03.2026 Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City 3:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Adama City - Arba Minch 0:2 ✺

05.03.2026 Hadiya Hossana - Adama City 1:1 ✺

26.02.2026 Adama City - Sheger Ketema 3:3 ✺

21.02.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema

15.03.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethio Electric 0:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:0 ✺

26.02.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema 1:1 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	26	13	9	4	32:17	15	48
2	Negele Arsi Ketema	27	11	10	6	26:19	7	43
3	Hawassa	26	11	8	7	30:21	9	41
4	Mechal	26	10	10	6	33:21	12	40
5	Fasil Kenema	26	9	12	5	18:15	3	39
6	Ethio Electric	26	9	11	6	20:15	5	38
7	Ethiopia Bunna	25	10	6	9	25:25	0	36
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	26	7	14	5	19:18	1	35
9	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	26	8	10	8	35:32	3	34
10	Adama City	26	7	12	7	24:27	-3	33
11	Sheger Ketema	27	6	14	7	24:25	-1	32
12	Hadiya Hossana	26	8	8	10	22:27	-5	32
13	Dire Dawa	26	7	11	8	18:25	-7	32
14	Welayta Dicha	26	6	13	7	27:26	1	31
15	St. George	25	8	7	10	20:22	-2	31
16	Ethiopian Insurance	26	6	11	9	20:20	0	29
17	Welwalo Adigrat	26	6	11	9	19:26	-7	29
18	Shire Endaselassie	26	6	10	10	17:21	-4	28
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	26	4	11	11	15:29	-14	23
20	Arba Menche	26	4	10	12	18:31	-13	22

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