Adama City vs Negele Arsi Ketema – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Premier League - Round 25

Match Stats


Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
3	8
Corner kicks
2	3
Total shots
7	12
Shots on target
3	8
Shots off target
4	4
Corner kicks
2	3

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Chances of winning

Adama City
28.4%

Draw
32.3%

Negele Arsi Ketema
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

31.2%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29.8%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adama City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Negele Arsi Ketema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Negele Arsi Ketema than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (3.17)	2.82 ↓ (2.95)	2.33 ↑ (2.31)	9.5% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).
Recent performances by Adama City have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Negele Arsi Ketema is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Negele Arsi Ketema could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Adama City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

How many head-to-head matches has Adama City won against Negele Arsi Ketema?

Adama City has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Negele Arsi Ketema won against Adama City?

Negele Arsi Ketema has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Adama City - Negele Arsi Ketema were as follows:

20.11.2025 Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama City 2:1

Latest results of Adama City

14.03.2026 Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City 3:2 ✺

10.03.2026 Adama City - Arba Minch 0:2 ✺

05.03.2026 Hadiya Hossana - Adama City 1:1 ✺

26.02.2026 Adama City - Sheger Ketema 3:3 ✺

21.02.2026 Ethiopian Medhin - Adama City 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Negele Arsi Ketema

15.03.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethio Electric 0:2 ✺

09.03.2026 Bahir Dar Kenema - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Saint George - Negele Arsi Ketema 0:0 ✺

26.02.2026 Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna 0:1 ✺

22.02.2026 Arba Minch - Negele Arsi Ketema 1:1 ✺

Ethiopian Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	29	15	10	4	35:17	18	55
2	Mechal	29	12	11	6	36:22	14	47
3	Negele Arsi Ketema	29	11	12	6	27:20	7	45
4	Hawassa	29	11	10	8	31:23	8	43
5	Fasil Kenema	29	10	13	6	19:18	1	43
6	Ethio Electric	29	10	12	7	22:17	5	42
7	Ethiopia Bunna	29	11	8	10	33:33	0	41
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	29	7	16	6	21:22	-1	37
9	Sheger Ketema	29	7	15	7	26:25	1	36
10	St. George	29	9	9	11	24:27	-3	36
11	Welayta Dicha	29	7	14	8	28:27	1	35
12	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	29	8	11	10	35:35	0	35
13	Welwalo Adigrat	29	8	11	10	26:30	-4	35
14	Hadiya Hossana	29	8	11	10	26:31	-5	35
15	Ethiopian Insurance	29	7	13	9	24:23	1	34
16	Adama City	29	7	13	9	25:30	-5	34
17	Dire Dawa	29	7	12	10	20:30	-10	33
18	Shire Endaselassie	29	6	12	11	18:23	-5	30
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta	29	6	12	11	21:31	-10	30
20	Arba Menche	29	4	13	12	21:34	-13	25

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