Neil Oberleitner vs Arthur Bouquier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1213
Double Faults
44
1st serve percentage
56%59%
1st serve points won
79% (46/58)78% (46/59)
2nd serve points won
57% (26/46)56% (23/41)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)67% (4/6)
1st return points won
22% (13/59)21% (12/58)
2nd return points won
44% (18/41)43% (20/46)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)33% (1/3)
Winners
2739
Unforced errors
3941
Net points won
69% (18/26)67% (8/12)
Service Points Won
69% (72/104)69% (69/100)
Return Points Won
31% (31/100)31% (32/104)
Total Points Won
50% (103/204)50% (101/204)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
94% (16/17)88% (14/16)
Return games won
13% (2/16)6% (1/17)
Total games won
55% (18/33)45% (15/33)

Chances of winning


Neil Oberleitner
32.2%
Arthur Bouquier
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.4% 65.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 69.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Arthur Bouquier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Bouquier than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Neil Oberleitner - Arthur Bouquier Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.91
    (2.68)

    1.38
    (1.41)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 426. Bouquier is ranked ATP: 439.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Oberleitner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Bouquier could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Neil Oberleitner
    Latest results of Arthur Bouquier
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Glinka D. (RET.)1 : 0
    2Holmgren A.Smith K. (Q)1 : 2
    3Sels J. (LL)Kouame M. (WC)0 : 2
    4Engel J.Zeppieri G. (5)1 : 2
    5Ofner S. (4)Loffhagen G. (Alt)2 : 1
    6Cassone M. (Q)Broom C. (Q)2 : 0
    7Rodionov J.Grenier H. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Added D. (Alt)Krumich M. (Q)0 : 2
    9Blanchet U. (8)Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q)1 : 1
    10Bertola R. (Alt)Chidekh C.0 : 2
    11Herbert P.Bailly G. A. (Alt)2 : 1
    12Paris T. (WC)Virtanen O. (3)1 : 2
    13Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Molcan A.2 : 0
    14Tabur C. (Alt)Nishikori K. (Q)1 : 2
    15Safiullin R.Skatov T.2 : 0
    16Malige M. (WC)Choinski J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Smith K.2 : 1
    2Kouame M.Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5)1 : 0
    3Ofner S. (4)Cassone M.2 : 0
    4Rodionov J.Krumich M.2 : 0
    5Blanchet U. (8)Chidekh C.2 : 0
    6Herbert P.Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    7Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Nishikori K.2 : 1
    8Safiullin R.Choinski J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Kouame M.2 : 1
    2Ofner S. (4)Rodionov J.2 : 1
    3Blanchet U. (8)Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    4Budkov Kjaer N. (6)Choinski J. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gaston H. (1)Ofner S. (4)0 : 2
    2Virtanen O. (3)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Ofner S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N. (6)2 : 1