Neil Oberleitner vs Keegan Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

02/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville - Qualification, hard - Final

Chances of winning


Neil Oberleitner
30.9%
Keegan Smith
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.8% 68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1% 64.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Neil Oberleitner - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (2.91)

    1.34
    (1.36)
    8.1%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 426. Smith is ranked ATP: 306.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Smith is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Neil Oberleitner
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Watanuki Y. (1)Nagel A. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Naw H. (Alt)Broska F. (12)1 : 2
    3Oberleitner N. (Alt)Bouquier A.2 : 1
    4Martineau M.Smith K. (7)0 : 2
    5Gakhov I. (3)Molleker R.0 : 2
    6Kotov P.Krumich M. (11)1 : 2
    7Cassone M. (4)Bertimon M. (WC)2 : 0
    8Lokoli L. (Alt)Zahraj P. (10)2 : 0
    9Broom C. (5)Knaff A. (WC)2 : 1
    10Janvier M. (Alt)Blancaneaux G. (8)0 : 2
    11Nishikori K. (6)Jade D. (WC)2 : 0
    12Trufelli T. (WC)Sels J. (9)0 : 2

    Final
    1Watanuki Y. (1)Broska F. (12)
    2Oberleitner N.Smith K. (7)
    3Molleker R.Krumich M. (11)
    4Cassone M. (4)Lokoli L.
    5Broom C. (5)Blancaneaux G. (8)
    6Nishikori K. (6)Sels J. (9)