Result
0:2
02/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville - Qualification, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 60% | 73% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 82% (27/33) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 47% (9/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 50% (1/2) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 18% (6/33) | 41% (12/29) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 53% (10/19) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (4/4) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 36% (5/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 76% (34/45) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (11/45) | 45% (21/47) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 40% (37/92) | 60% (55/92) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 44% (4/9) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 67% (12/18) |
Chances of winning
Neil Oberleitner
19.1% | Keegan Smith
80.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Neil Oberleitner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Neil Oberleitner's form might have worsened.Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neil Oberleitner than the current prediction. (+16%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neil Oberleitner, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-16%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Neil Oberleitner - Keegan Smith Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.09 ↑
(2.91) |
|
1.2 ↓
(1.36) |
3%
(8.1%) | |
What is the prediction for Neil Oberleitner - Keegan Smith?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Oberleitner will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Smith will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Oberleitner (votes: 1 - 50%). Smith (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Oberleitner is ranked ATP: 426. Smith is ranked ATP: 306.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Smith is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Neil Oberleitner won against Keegan Smith?
Neil Oberleitner has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keegan Smith won against Neil Oberleitner?
Keegan Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Neil Oberleitner - Keegan Smith were as follows:
Latest results of Neil Oberleitner
Latest results of Keegan Smith
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Glinka D. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Holmgren A. | Smith K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sels J. (LL) | Kouame M. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Zeppieri G. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ofner S. (4) | Loffhagen G. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Cassone M. (Q) | Broom C. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Rodionov J. | Grenier H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Added D. (Alt) | Krumich M. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Blanchet U. (8) | Watanuki Y. (RET.) (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 10 | Bertola R. (Alt) | Chidekh C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Herbert P. | Bailly G. A. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Paris T. (WC) | Virtanen O. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Molcan A. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Tabur C. (Alt) | Nishikori K. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Safiullin R. | Skatov T. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Malige M. (WC) | Choinski J. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Kouame M. | Zeppieri G. (RET.) (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Ofner S. (4) | Cassone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Rodionov J. | Krumich M. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Blanchet U. (8) | Chidekh C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Herbert P. | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Nishikori K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Safiullin R. | Choinski J. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Kouame M. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Ofner S. (4) | Rodionov J. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Blanchet U. (8) | Virtanen O. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | Choinski J. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Gaston H. (1) | Ofner S. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Virtanen O. (3) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Ofner S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. (6) | 2 : 1 |
