Rayo Vallecano vs Neman Grodno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
28/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.53
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
133
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
70
Passes
81% (428/527)54% (128/239)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.53
xG on target (xGOT)
3.100.00
Total shots
133
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
82
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
115
Passes
81% (428/527)54% (128/239)
Long passes
44% (35/79)33% (24/72)
Passes in final third
62% (91/146)34% (36/106)
Crosses
15% (3/20)25% (1/4)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.28
Throw-ins
3927
Fouls
511
Tackles
73% (8/11)83% (10/12)
Duels won
4036
Clearances
822
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.003.10
Goals prevented
0.00-0.90

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 15', Evdokimov O. 🟨,
  • 33', Gumbau G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 46', Gumbau G. , Lopez U. ,
  • 53', Shamurzaev A. 🟨,
  • 60', Nteka R. , de Frutos J. ,
  • 60', Perez F. , Garcia A. ,
  • 61', Zubovich E. , Savitskiy P. ,
  • 61', Suchkov A. , Klochkov Y. ,
  • 64', 1 - 0, Garcia A. , de Frutos J. (A),
  • 65', 2 - 0, Camello S. , Garcia A. (A),
  • 67', Trejo O. , Palazon I. ,
  • 77', Pushnyakov S. , Yakimov A. ,
  • 80', 3 - 0, de Frutos J. , Lopez U. (A),
  • 82', Kozlov M. , Ahmedi V. ,
  • 82', Evdokimov O. , Borubaev G. ,
  • 83', Lejeune F. , Fernandez P. ,
  • 89', 4 - 0, Garcia A. , de Frutos J. (A),

Chances of winning


Rayo Vallecano
79.7%
Draw
14.3%
Neman Grodno
6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
82.5% 13.1% 4.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Neman Grodno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Rayo Vallecano - Neman Grodno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.17
    (1.11)
    6.65
    (7)
    15.88
    (21)
    6.9%
    (9.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Neman Grodno?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 15 - 83.3%). Neman will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 66.1%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2 - Rayo Vallecano (1.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5 - Neman (1.52) (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rayo Vallecano will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Neman (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rayo Vallecano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rayo Vallecano has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Rayo Vallecano is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rayo Vallecano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Neman Grodno were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Neman Grodno - Rayo Vallecano 0:1
    Latest results of Rayo Vallecano
    Latest results of Neman Grodno
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2