Smorgon vs Neman Grodno – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Smorgon - Neman Grodno
Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vysshaya Liga - Round 23
  • Referee: Yasel A. (Blr)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
56
Corner Kicks
27
Yellow Cards
32
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
68
Corner Kicks
27
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1718
Throw-ins
3633
Fouls
1515

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', Tishko A. 🟨,
  • 36', 1 - 0, Yablonskiy M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Kuchinskiy K. , Yakimov A. ,
  • 46', Borubaev G. , Devyaten A. ,
  • 57', Chebotar V. , Doumbia S. ,
  • 83', Nazarenko A. , Gavrilov Y. ,
  • 85', Bamba L. , Dukso M. ,
  • 85', Yablonskiy M. , Diallo M. ,
  • 88', Dukso M. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Klochkov Y. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Pushnyakov S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bamba M. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Smorgon
21.8%
Draw
25.6%
Neman Grodno
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.4% 22.9% 65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8% 15.5% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.
  • Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neman Grodno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neman Grodno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Smorgon - Neman Grodno Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.35
    (8.1)
    3.7
    (4.05)
    1.8
    (1.41)
    5.6%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1.
    • In recent matches, Smorgon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Neman has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Neman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Neman has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Neman is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.6:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Neman Grodno were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Neman Grodno - Smorgon 0:1
    23.11.2024 Smorgon - Neman Grodno 0:0
    29.06.2024 Neman Grodno - Smorgon 2:1
    01.10.2023 Smorgon - Neman Grodno 1:3
    14.05.2023 Neman Grodno - Smorgon 3:1
    Latest results of Smorgon
    24.09.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk 1:2
    19.09.2025 Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon 0:1
    13.09.2025 Smorgon - Naftan 1:1
    30.08.2025 Smorgon - ML Vitebsk 0:1
    23.08.2025 Smorgon - Dinamo Brest 1:0
    Latest results of Neman Grodno
    24.09.2025 Gomel - Neman Grodno 3:1
    20.09.2025 Neman Grodno - ML Vitebsk 3:1
    10.09.2025 Molodechno - Neman Grodno 3:2
    Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1ML Vitebsk24164438:152352
    2Din. Minsk23153542:241848
    3Slavia Mozyr23135538:231544
    4Zhodino23118437:231441
    5Dynamo Brest24125736:231341
    6FC Minsk24125738:35341
    7Isloch23109440:221839
    8Neman21102930:21932
    9BATE24861029:39-1030
    10FC Gomel23851024:27-329
    11Vitebsk24831332:36-427
    12Arsenal Dzerzhinsk23511724:29-526
    13Naftan24741331:42-1125
    14Smorgon23551317:33-1620
    15Slutsk22341511:36-2513
    16Molodechno24312016:55-3910

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga