Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Vysshaya Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Yasel A. (Blr)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Tishko A. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Yablonskiy M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Kuchinskiy K. ↓, Yakimov A. ↑,
- 46', Borubaev G. ↓, Devyaten A. ↑,
- 57', Chebotar V. ↓, Doumbia S. ↑,
- 83', Nazarenko A. ↓, Gavrilov Y. ↑,
- 85', Bamba L. ↓, Dukso M. ↑,
- 85', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
- 88', Dukso M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Klochkov Y. 🟨,
- 90+5', Pushnyakov S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Bamba M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Smorgon
21.8% | Draw
25.6% | Neman Grodno
52.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Smorgon's performance.Neman Grodno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neman Grodno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neman Grodno than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neman Grodno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Smorgon - Neman Grodno Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.35 ↓
(8.1) |
3.7 ↓
(4.05) |
1.8 ↑
(1.41) |
5.6%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Smorgon - Neman Grodno?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Smorgon (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +0.75 - Smorgon (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Smorgon (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation) and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1.
- In recent matches, Smorgon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Neman has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Neman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Smorgon has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Neman has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neman is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 4:15. (average 0.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Smorgon won against Neman Grodno?
Smorgon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neman Grodno won against Smorgon?
Neman Grodno has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Smorgon - Neman Grodno were as follows:
11.05.2025
Neman Grodno
-
Smorgon
0:1
23.11.2024
Smorgon
-
Neman Grodno
0:0
29.06.2024
Neman Grodno
-
Smorgon
2:1
01.10.2023
Smorgon
-
Neman Grodno
1:3
14.05.2023
Neman Grodno
-
Smorgon
3:1
Latest results of Smorgon
Latest results of Neman Grodno
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Neman | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Din. Minsk | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | ML Vitebsk | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 11 |
| 4 | FC Gomel | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
| 5 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | FC Minsk | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Isloch | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Vitebsk | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Dynamo Brest | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | Zhodino | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Dnepr Mogilev | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Slavia Mozyr | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | BATE | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Belshina | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 | Naftan | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | -8 | 2 |
| 16 | Baranovici | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:15 | -13 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga
