Sūduva vs Neptūnas-Akvaservis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Lietuvos NKL Sūduva - Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Result
99:75
04/01/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LITHUANIA: NKL

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6869
Field Goals Made
3727
Field Goals %
54.4%39.1%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3948
2-Point Field Goals Made
2818
2-Point Field Goals %
71.8%37.5%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2921
3-Point Field Goals Made
99
3-Point Field Goals %
31%42.9%
Free Throws Attempted
2025
Free Throws Made
1614
Free Throws %
80%56%
Offensive Rebounds
1215
Defensive Rebounds
3320
Total Rebounds
4535
Assists
2115
Blocks
12
Turnovers
105
Steals
35
Personal Fouls
2617

Chances of winning


Sūduva
64.4%
Neptūnas-Akvaservis
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.9% 37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sūduva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Neptūnas-Akvaservis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • Sūduva - Neptūnas-Akvaservis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.44)

    2.58
    (2.44)
    8.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 156.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • Sūduva is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Neptūnas-Akvaservis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Neptūnas-Akvaservis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Sūduva will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Sūduva won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 321:323 (average 80.3:80.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Sūduva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 73:77
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sūduva - Neptūnas-Akvaservis were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Sūduva 87:81
    Latest results of Sūduva
    21.12.2024 Sūduva - Šilutė 84:99
    19.12.2024 Alytaus Alytus - Sūduva 76:83
    14.12.2024 Sūduva - Olimpas Palanga 74:78
    12.12.2024 Omega Tauras - Sūduva 79:66
    10.12.2024 Vytis Šakiai - Sūduva 96:84
    Latest results of Neptūnas-Akvaservis
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Telsiai (1)Bye
    2Omega-Tauras (8)Ukmerges Stekas (9)2 : 1
    3BC Olimpas Palanga (4)Bye
    4Vytis VDU (5)Kretinga (12)2 : 0
    5Zalgiris Kaunas 2 (3)Bye
    6Suduva-Mantinga (6)Rytas 2 (11)2 : 1
    7Jurbarkas (2)Bye
    8Vilkaviskis (7)Neptunas 2 (10)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Telsiai (1)Omega-Tauras (8)3 : 2
    2BC Olimpas Palanga (4)Vytis VDU (5)3 : 1
    3Zalgiris Kaunas 2 (3)Suduva-Mantinga (6)3 : 1
    4Jurbarkas (2)Vilkaviskis (7)1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Telsiai (1)BC Olimpas Palanga (4)3 : 0
    2Zalgiris Kaunas 2 (2)Vilkaviskis (7)2 : 3

    Final
    1Telsiai (1)Vilkaviskis (7)3 : 0

    3rd place
    2Zalgiris Kaunas 2 (2)BC Olimpas Palanga (4)3 : 0