Result
4:2
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- I Lyga - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Futbols TV |
 World | FIFA+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Zubauskas D. ⚽,
- 34', 🟥,
- 38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 42', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 2, Diawara H. ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 64', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 79', 🟨,
- 82', 4 - 2, ⚽,
- 90', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
43.5% | Draw
29.7% | Neptūnas
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atmosfera Mažeikiai's performance.Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neptūnas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atmosfera Mažeikiai that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+17.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neptūnas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.79 ↓
(3.05) |
4.09 ↑
(3.58) |
4.54 ↑
(2.02) |
-17.7%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Neptūnas (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 3).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 1.
- Atmosfera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Neptūnas is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Recently, Atmosfera has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Neptūnas is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atmosfera Mažeikiai won against Neptūnas?
Atmosfera Mažeikiai has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neptūnas won against Atmosfera Mažeikiai?
Neptūnas has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas were as follows:
23.05.2025
Neptūnas
-
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
1:0
03.08.2024
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
-
Neptūnas
1:0
08.03.2024
Neptūnas
-
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
2:0
12.11.2022
Neptūnas
-
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
4:2
Latest results of Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Latest results of Neptūnas
Lithuanian Division 2 Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Transinvest ✔ | 27 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 77:19 | 58 | 73 |
| 2 | Neptunas | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 61:26 | 35 | 58 |
| 3 | Tauras Taurage | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Babrungas | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 52:34 | 18 | 52 |
| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 40:32 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Jonava | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 26:21 | 5 | 41 |
| 7 | Zalgiris 2 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 49:43 | 6 | 41 |
| 8 | Atmosfera | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 45:32 | 13 | 41 |
| 9 | FK Minija | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 26:38 | -12 | 33 |
| 10 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 34:46 | -12 | 30 |
| 11 | Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 27 |
| 12 | Nevezis Kedainiai | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 28:51 | -23 | 23 |
| 13 | Ekranas | 27 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 33:55 | -22 | 23 |
| 14 | FK Panevezys 2 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 26:67 | -41 | 21 |
| 15 | BE1 NFA | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 25:50 | -25 | 21 |
| 16 | Siauliai 2 | 27 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 34:66 | -32 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A Lyga
Promotion ~ A Lyga (Promotion: )
I Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Transinvest is Qualified for A Lyga
