Result
1:3
25/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- I Lyga - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lithuania | LNK |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 🟥,
- 78', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
35.4% | Draw
26.7% | Neptūnas
37.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atmosfera Mažeikiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.32) |
3.4 ↑
(3.33) |
2.4 ↓
(2.69) |
10.1%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 2.
- Recent performances by Atmosfera have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Neptūnas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Neptūnas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atmosfera Mažeikiai won against Neptūnas?
Atmosfera Mažeikiai has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neptūnas won against Atmosfera Mažeikiai?
Neptūnas has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas were as follows:
27.09.2025
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
-
Neptūnas
4:2
23.05.2025
Neptūnas
-
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
1:0
03.08.2024
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
-
Neptūnas
1:0
08.03.2024
Neptūnas
-
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
2:0
12.11.2022
Neptūnas
-
Atmosfera Mažeikiai
4:2
Latest results of Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Latest results of Neptūnas
Lithuanian Division 2 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FK Minija | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | 15 | 18 |
| 2 | Babrungas | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | BE1 NFA | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Jonava | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Zalgiris 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | BFA Vilnius | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Atmosfera | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Tauras Taurage | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Garliava | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 10 | Transinvest 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 11 | Neptunas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Hegelmann Litauen 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
| 13 | Dainava Alytus | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 14 | Siauliai 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 2 |
| 15 | Ekranas | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
| 16 | Kauno Zalgiris 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3:14 | -11 | 0 |
Promotion ~ TOPLYGA
Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: )
I Lyga (Relegation)
Relegation
