Neptūnas vs Kauno Žalgiris – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Cup Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris
Result
0:1 ET
30/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Lithuanian Cup - 1/16-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 112', 0 - 1, Vosylius N. ,

Chances of winning


Neptūnas
13.7%
Draw
23.2%
Kauno Žalgiris
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.1% 24.8% 57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4% 24.4% 56.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Kauno Žalgiris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kauno Žalgiris's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.65
    (5.05)
    3.93
    (3.69)
    1.45
    (1.6)
    9.4%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kauno Žalgiris (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neptūnas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Kauno Žalgiris is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kauno Žalgiris could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match, Kauno Žalgiris is a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Neptūnas
    Latest results of Kauno Žalgiris
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Dainava AlytusZalgiris0 : 6
    2NeptunasKauno Zalgiris0 : 1
    3UtenisTauras Taurage1 : 5
    4Vilnius FASuduva0 : 4
    5AFK VilniusPempininkai4 : 2
    6SveikataBabrungas0 : 2
    7Nevezis KedainiaiFK Minija1 : 3
    8CementininkasDziugas Telsiai2 : 3
    9Kazlu RudaBE1 NFA1 : 0
    10Klaipedos FMJonava2 : 3
    11GarliavaEkranas1 : 0
    12Trivartis VilniusFK Panevezys0 : 13
    13SirijusTransinvest0 : 5
    14VGTU VilkaiHegelmann0 : 6
    15AtmosferaBanga0 : 2
    16RiteriaiSiauliai FA1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1ZalgirisKauno Zalgiris2 : 4
    2Tauras TaurageSuduva1 : 3
    3AFK VilniusBabrungas0 : 6
    4FK MinijaDziugas Telsiai0 : 1
    5Kazlu RudaJonava1 : 4
    6GarliavaFK Panevezys0 : 3
    7TransinvestHegelmann0 : 1
    8BangaSiauliai FA0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Kauno ZalgirisSuduva0 : 2
    2BabrungasDziugas Telsiai
    3JonavaFK Panevezys
    4HegelmannSiauliai FA3 : 1