Jonava vs Neptūnas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Division 2 Jonava - Neptūnas
Result
0:2
30/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
latviaLatviaFutbols TV
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 23', 🟨,
  • 44', 🟨,
  • 45+3', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 51', 0 - 1, Ilevbare D. ,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Jonava
17.3%
Draw
25.2%
Neptūnas
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 23.5% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 22.7% 43.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jonava's form might have worsened.
  • Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jonava, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neptūnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Jonava - Neptūnas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.73
    (2.94)
    3.93
    (3.9)
    1.73
    (2.02)
    0.8%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 3).
    • Jonava is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Neptūnas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Jonava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Neptūnas will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 2.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Jonava won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 3.5:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jonava - Neptūnas were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Neptūnas - Jonava 0:2
    08.11.2023 Jonava - Neptūnas 2:5
    30.06.2023 Neptūnas - Jonava 2:0
    Latest results of Jonava
    17.08.2025 Babrungas Plungė - Jonava 1:2
    13.08.2025 Jonava - Panevėžys 1:4
    09.08.2025 Jonava - Kauno Žalgiris 2 1:1
    02.08.2025 Jonava - BE1 NFA Kaunas 2:1
    Latest results of Neptūnas
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest25221271:195267
    2Tauras Taurage25166350:183254
    3Neptunas25164554:243052
    4BFA Vilnius25146538:241448
    5Babrungas25137547:321546
    6Jonava25107823:19437
    7Zalgiris 225107844:41337
    8Atmosfera251141041:311037
    9FK Minija251031226:35-933
    10Kauno Zalgiris 225831438:43-527
    11Hegelmann Litauen 225761231:42-1127
    12Ekranas25721631:50-1923
    13Nevezis Kedainiai25641525:45-2022
    14FK Panevezys 225621725:63-3820
    15BE1 NFA25461520:47-2718
    16Siauliai 225521831:62-3117

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