Neptūnas vs Jonava – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Division 2 Neptūnas - Jonava
Result
0:2
03/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 8', Badmus O. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Benevicius N. ,
  • 15', 0 - 2, Mickevicius E. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Neptūnas
77.2%
Draw
15.1%
Jonava
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.2% 19.7% 10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.1% 18.2% 9.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neptūnas's performance.
  • Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Neptūnas - Jonava Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.31)
    6.04
    (4.66)
    11.77
    (9.12)
    10%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 15 in the zone Relegation).
    • In recent matches, Neptūnas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Jonava is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Jonava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Neptūnas is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Neptūnas - Jonava were as follows:
    08.11.2023 Jonava - Neptūnas 2:5
    30.06.2023 Neptūnas - Jonava 2:0
    Latest results of Neptūnas
    Latest results of Jonava
    18.04.2025 Jonava - Babrungas Plungė 1:2
    05.04.2025 Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Jonava 0:0
    28.03.2025 BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava 0:0
    15.03.2025 Jonava - BFA Vilnius 0:1
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest15140148:113742
    2Neptunas16122238:142438
    3Tauras Taurage16105130:92135
    4Babrungas1694332:25731
    5BFA Vilnius1592425:16929
    6Zalgiris 21584333:221128
    7Hegelmann Litauen 21654719:26-719
    8Atmosfera1653820:21-118
    9FK Minija1652912:25-1317
    10Nevezis Kedainiai1652920:28-817
    11Jonava1545610:11-117
    12Kauno Zalgiris 216421020:31-1114
    13FK Panevezys 216411119:45-2613
    14BE1 NFA1534814:25-1113
    15Ekranas15321013:28-1511
    16Siauliai 216321122:38-1611

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