Nerman Fatic vs Nicolas Alvarez Varona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Skopje Challenger Men Nerman Fatic - Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Result
2:1
20/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Skopje, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
74%60%
1st Serve Points Won
61% (43/70)68% (40/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (13/24)41% (16/39)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
32% (19/59)39% (27/70)
2nd Return Points Won
59% (23/39)46% (11/24)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)50% (4/8)
Winners
3024
Unforced Errors
4143
Service Points Won
59% (54/92)56% (54/96)
Return Points Won
44% (42/96)41% (38/92)
Total Points Won
51% (96/188)49% (92/188)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)69% (9/13)
Return Games Won
31% (4/13)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
52% (14/27)48% (13/27)

Chances of winning


Nerman Fatic
60.8%
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nerman Fatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nerman Fatic's performance.
  • Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nicolas Alvarez Varona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nerman Fatic than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nerman Fatic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nicolas Alvarez Varona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Nerman Fatic - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.74)

    2.39
    (2.02)
    6.7%
    (7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Fatic is ranked ATP: 339. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 304.
    • Fatic is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alvarez Varona's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Alvarez Varona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fatic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Nerman Fatic
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Dellien H. (1)Kodat T. (Q)2 : 0
    2Mikrut L.Brunold M. (Alt)0 : 2
    3Denolly C.Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    4Michalski D. (LL)Houkes M. (7)2 : 1
    5Clarke J. (3)Sels J. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Cachin P.Dhamne M. (Q)2 : 0
    7Schwaerzler J. J.Bueno G.2 : 0
    8Milev Y. (WC)Sharipov M. (6)0 : 2
    9Poljicak M. (8)Ivanovski K. (WC)2 : 1
    10Marmousez L. (Q)Olivieri G. A.1 : 2
    11Mrva M.Geerts M.0 : 2
    12Oberleitner N. (Q)Roca Batalla O. (4)1 : 2
    13Durasovic V. (5)Travaglia S.2 : 1
    14Fatic N. (Q)Alvarez Varona N. (Alt)2 : 1
    15Agamenone F. (Q)Shelbayh A.2 : 0
    16Negritu Ch.Dodig M. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Dellien H. (1)Brunold M.2 : 1
    2Denolly C.Michalski D.0 : 2
    3Clarke J. (3)Cachin P.2 : 0
    4Schwaerzler J. J.Sharipov M. (6)2 : 0
    5Poljicak M. (8)Olivieri G. A.2 : 0
    6Geerts M.Roca Batalla O. (4)2 : 1
    7Durasovic V. (5)Fatic N.0 : 2
    8Agamenone F.Negritu Ch.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Dellien H. (1)Michalski D.2 : 0
    2Clarke J. (3)Schwaerzler J. J.2 : 0
    3Poljicak M. (8)Geerts M.2 : 0
    4Fatic N.Negritu Ch.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Dellien H. (1)Clarke J. (3)0 : 2
    2Poljicak M. (8)Fatic N.1 : 2

    Final
    1Clarke J. (3)Fatic N.2 : 0