Ludogorets II vs Nesebar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 29

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
80
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
123
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
21
Goalkeeper Saves
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 26', 🟨,
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Ludogorets II
67.1%
Draw
20.8%
Nesebar
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 25.7% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 24.4% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets II's performance.
  • Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nesebar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nesebar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ludogorets II - Nesebar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.64)
    4.38
    (3.54)
    7.54
    (4.83)
    9.7%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 1.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • In this match Ludogorets II is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ludogorets II - Nesebar were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Nesebar - Ludogorets II 1:1
    Latest results of Ludogorets II
    Latest results of Nesebar
    22.03.2025 Nesebar - Spartak Pleven 1:2
    16.03.2025 CSKA Sofia II - Nesebar 0:0
    08.03.2025 Nesebar - Fratria 3:1
    01.03.2025 Sportist Svoge - Nesebar 0:0
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse19163041:63551
    2Fratria21144340:152546
    3Yantra Gabrovo21117329:171240
    4Vihren21115540:251538
    5CSKA Sofia II2096537:191833
    6Pirin Blagoevgrad2077628:25328
    7Etar2168723:28-526
    8Lok. Gorna2168723:27-426
    9Ludogorets II21741026:31-525
    10Hebar2074928:33-525
    11Chernomorets 191920510521:21025
    12Minyor Pernik2158819:26-723
    13Svoge2056920:30-1021
    14Marek21461116:32-1618
    15Sevlievo20451114:27-1317
    16Spartak Pleven20351216:34-1814
    17Belasitsa19261110:35-2512

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