Ludogorets II vs Nesebar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
02/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Vtora liga - Round 29

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
123
Shots on target
80
Corner Kicks
21
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
123
Shots on target
80
Shots off target
43
Corner Kicks
21
Goalkeeper Saves
06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, ,
  • 26', 🟨,
  • 35', 🟨,
  • 40', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 🟨,
  • 78', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Ludogorets II
67.1%
Draw
20.8%
Nesebar
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 25.7% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 24.4% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ludogorets II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludogorets II's performance.
  • Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nesebar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets II than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets II that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nesebar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Ludogorets II - Nesebar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.64)
    4.38
    (3.54)
    7.54
    (4.83)
    9.7%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 1.
    • The competitors look crappy now.
    • In this match Ludogorets II is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Ludogorets II won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:11 (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ludogorets II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ludogorets II - Nesebar were as follows:
    21.09.2024 Nesebar - Ludogorets II 1:1
    Latest results of Ludogorets II
    Latest results of Nesebar
    22.03.2025 Nesebar - Spartak Pleven 1:2
    16.03.2025 CSKA Sofia II - Nesebar 0:0
    08.03.2025 Nesebar - Fratria 3:1
    01.03.2025 Sportist Svoge - Nesebar 0:0
    Bulgarian Vtora Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dunav Ruse22184044:73758
    2Fratria24146443:212248
    3Vihren24135644:281644
    4Yantra Gabrovo24128432:191344
    5CSKA Sofia II22106639:231636
    6Chernomorets 191923810528:22634
    7Pirin Blagoevgrad2378829:28129
    8Etar2378825:33-829
    9Hebar22841030:37-728
    10Ludogorets II24761128:34-627
    11Minyor Pernik2469924:29-527
    12Lok. Gorna24681025:32-726
    13Sevlievo23751121:28-726
    14Marek23571118:33-1522
    15Svoge22561120:36-1621
    16Spartak Pleven23551324:36-1220
    17Belasitsa22271313:41-2813

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