Netherlands U20 W vs Italy U20 W – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Water polo World Championship Water Polo U20 Women Netherlands U20 W - Italy U20 W
Result
13:11
15/09/2023 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: WORLD CHAMPIONSHIPS WOMEN U20 - PLAY OFFS - 3RD PLACE

Chances of winning


Netherlands U20 W
33.2%
Draw
14.5%
Italy U20 W
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 14% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 15.7% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Netherlands U20 W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Netherlands U20 W's form might have worsened.
  • Italy U20 W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Italy U20 W's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Netherlands U20 W than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Netherlands U20 W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Italy U20 W than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Italy U20 W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Netherlands U20 W - Italy U20 W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (1.65)
    6.23
    (6.48)
    1.73
    (2.94)
    10.6%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 20.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Netherlands U20 W - Italy U20 W?
  • Users Predictions: Italy U20 W will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 11:11.
  • Preview Facts
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Netherlands U20 will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Netherlands U20 W
    Latest results of Italy U20 W
    14.09.2023 Hungary U20 W - Italy U20 W 10:9
    13.09.2023 Greece U20 W - Italy U20 W 11:15
    12.09.2023 Croatia U20 W - Italy U20 W 6:24
    10.09.2023 Italy U20 W - Israel U20 W 17:10
    09.09.2023 USA U20 W - Italy U20 W 12:9
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Spain U20 WBye
    3Croatia U20 WAustralia U20 W8 : 11
    4Israel U20 WBye
    5USA U20 WBye
    8Netherlands U20 WBye
    9Hungary U20 WBye
    11Canada U20 WNew Zealand U20 W9 : 12
    12Brazil U20 WBye
    13Greece U20 WBye
    16Italy U20 WBye

    1/8-finals
    1Spain U20 WBye
    2Australia U20 WIsrael U20 W10 : 13
    3USA U20 WBye
    4Canada U20 WNetherlands U20 W9 : 17
    5Hungary U20 WBye
    6New Zealand U20 WBrazil U20 W13 : 10
    7Greece U20 WBye
    8Croatia U20 WItaly U20 W6 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1Spain U20 WIsrael U20 W10 : 4
    2USA U20 WNetherlands U20 W16 : 17
    3Hungary U20 WNew Zealand U20 W21 : 3
    4Greece U20 WItaly U20 W11 : 15

    Semi-finals
    1Spain U20 WNetherlands U20 W14 : 4
    2Hungary U20 WItaly U20 W10 : 9

    Final
    1Spain U20 WHungary U20 W10 : 13

    3rd place
    2Netherlands U20 WItaly U20 W13 : 11