Netherlands W vs France W, UEFA Euro Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Euro Women
Football UEFA Euro Women Netherlands W - France W
Result
2:5
13/07/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Euro Women - Round 3
  • Referee: Martincic I. (Cro)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport, Stan Sport
austriaAustriaORF On, ORF Sport+
belgiumBelgiumBNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaBHT 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV
bulgariaBulgariaBNT 1, BNT 3
canadaCanadaTSN 1, TSN 3, TSN+
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaHRT 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusRIK 1
czech-republicCzech-republicCT sport
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
estoniaEstoniaETV 2
finlandFinlandYLE Areena, YLE TV2
franceFranceFree, Molotov TV, TMC
georgiaGeorgia1TV, 1TV Player
germanyGermanyDas Erste, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceERT 2
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
hungaryHungaryDuna World / M4 Sport +
icelandIcelandRUV 2
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandRTE News, RTE Player
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyRAI Sport, RAI Sport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoRTK 1
latviaLatviaLTV 7
lithuaniaLithuaniaLRT Plius
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
moldovaMoldovaTVR Moldova
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, NPO 1, Sporza
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMRT 1, MRT Play
norwayNorwayNRK 3, NRK Sport, NRK TV, TV2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaTVR+, TVR Sport
serbiaSerbiaRTS 2
slovakiaSlovakiaSTVR Sport
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainRTVE Play, Teledeporte
swedenSwedenDiscovery+, SVT 1, SVT Play, Viaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandPlay RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV, TF 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomITV 4, ITV X
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldSport 24 Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.87
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
510
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
76% (263/344)76% (242/318)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.242.87
xG on target (xGOT)
2.114.37
Total shots
1220
Shots on target
510
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
916
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2734
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
76% (263/344)76% (242/318)
Long passes
36% (21/58)34% (12/35)
Passes in final third
58% (57/99)74% (81/109)
Crosses
25% (3/12)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.150.97
Throw-ins
1934
Fouls
1311
Tackles
57% (12/21)82% (14/17)
Duels won
4556
Clearances
2530
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
4.372.11
Goals prevented
-0.631.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Toletti S. ⚽, Katoto M-A. (A),
  • 26', 1 - 1, Pelova V. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
  • 35', Pelova V. 🟨,
  • 41', 2 - 1, Bacha S. (Own goal),
  • 45+2', Groenen J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 59', Toletti S. ↓, Geyoro G. ↑,
  • 61', 2 - 2, Katoto M-A. ⚽, Cascarino D. (A),
  • 64', 2 - 3, Cascarino D. ⚽,
  • 67', 2 - 4, Cascarino D. ⚽, Katoto M-A. (A),
  • 68', Grant C. ↓, Brugts E. ↑,
  • 68', Roord J. ↓, Kaptein W. ↑,
  • 71', Katoto M-A. ↓, Mateo C. ↑,
  • 71', Cascarino D. ↓, Diani K. ↑,
  • 71', Bacha S. ↓, Bogaert L. ↑,
  • 79', Sombath A. ↓, N'Dongala M. ↑,
  • 84', Spitse S. ↓, Dijkstra C. ↑,
  • 84', van de Donk D. ↓, Egurrola D. ↑,
  • 90', Pelova V. ↓, Jansen R. ↑,
  • 90+2', 2 - 5, Karchaoui S. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Netherlands W
20.6%		Draw
24.1%		France W
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.1% 24.6% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 24.7% 53%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Netherlands W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • France W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Netherlands W than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for France W than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
    •

    Netherlands W - France W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.59 ↑
    (4.28)    		 3.92 ↑
    (3.84)    		 1.7 ↓
    (1.77)    		 6.1%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Netherlands W - France W?
  • Users Predictions: France W will win (44 of 47 users predict this - 93.62%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.63% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): France W will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 1.
    • In recent matches, Netherlands has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • France is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, France is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Netherlands won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).
    Latest results of Netherlands W
    09.07.2025 England W - Netherlands W 4:0 ✺
    05.07.2025 Wales W - Netherlands W 0:3 ✺
    26.06.2025 Netherlands W - Finland W 2:1 ✺
    03.06.2025 Netherlands W - Scotland W 1:1 ✺
    30.05.2025 Germany W - Netherlands W 4:0 ✺
    Latest results of France W
    09.07.2025 France W - Wales W 4:1 ✺
    05.07.2025 France W - England W 2:1 ✺
    20.06.2025 France W - Belgium W 5:0
    03.06.2025 Iceland W - France W 0:2 ✺
    30.05.2025 France W - Switzerland W 4:0
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Sweden W (C1)England W (D2)2 : 3
    2Norway W (A1)Italy W (B2)1 : 2
    3France W (D1)Germany W (C2)1 : 2
    4Spain W (B1)Switzerland W (A2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1England W (D2)Italy W (B2)
    2Germany W (C2)Spain W (B1)

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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