Nevada Wolf Pack vs San Diego State Aztecs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Quarter (0 - 14)
00:59, Napier J. (Touchdown),
00:59, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
07:49, Johnson C. (Touchdown),
07:49, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
2nd Quarter (0 - 21)
00:01, Washington C. (Touchdown),
00:01, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
05:55, Bostick J. (Touchdown),
05:55, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
13:14, Sutton L. (Touchdown),
13:14, Plascencia G. (Extra Point),
3rd Quarter (0 - 9)
04:11, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
07:55, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
12:57, Plascencia G. (Field Goal),
4th Quarter (10 - 0)
02:10, McFadden J. (Field Goal),
12:28, Brown M. (Touchdown),
12:28, Jones C. (Extra Point),

Chances of winning

Nevada Wolf Pack
23.8%

San Diego State Aztecs
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevada Wolf Pack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nevada Wolf Pack's form might have worsened.

San Diego State Aztecs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Diego State Aztecs's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevada Wolf Pack than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevada Wolf Pack, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego State Aztecs than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego State Aztecs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.55 ↑ (2.78)		1.31 ↓ (1.42)	-1.7% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 42.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevada won 3.
Recent form of Nevada has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
San Diego State is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
San Diego State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, San Diego State is a strong favorite.
We predict that San Diego State will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Nevada won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 270:327. (average 22.5:27.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Nevada won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 145:167. (average 24.2:27.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Nevada Wolf Pack won against San Diego State Aztecs?

Nevada Wolf Pack has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has San Diego State Aztecs won against Nevada Wolf Pack?

San Diego State Aztecs has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs were as follows:

21.10.2023 San Diego State Aztecs - Nevada Wolf Pack 0:6

22.10.2022 Nevada Wolf Pack - San Diego State Aztecs 7:23

Latest results of Nevada Wolf Pack

04.10.2025 Fresno State Bulldogs - Nevada Wolf Pack 20:17 ✺

20.09.2025 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers - Nevada Wolf Pack 31:16 ✺

13.09.2025 Nevada Wolf Pack - Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 13:14 ✺

06.09.2025 Nevada Wolf Pack - Sacramento State Hornets 20:17 ✺

30.08.2025 Penn State Nittany Lions - Nevada Wolf Pack 46:11 ✺

Latest results of San Diego State Aztecs

03.10.2025 San Diego State Aztecs - Colorado State Rams 45:24 ✺

27.09.2025 Northern Illinois Huskies - San Diego State Aztecs 3:6 ✺

20.09.2025 San Diego State Aztecs - California Golden Bears 34:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Washington State Cougars - San Diego State Aztecs 36:13 ✺

28.08.2025 San Diego State Aztecs - Stony Brook Seawolves 42:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Indiana	Bye
2	Oklahoma	Alabama	24 : 34
3	Texas Tech	Bye
4	Oregon	James Madison	51 : 34
5	Georgia	Bye
6	Ole Miss	Tulane	41 : 10
7	Ohio State	Bye
8	Texas A&M	Miami (FL)	3 : 10

Quarter-finals

1	Indiana	Alabama	38 : 3
2	Texas Tech	Oregon	0 : 23
3	Georgia	Ole Miss	34 : 39
4	Ohio State	Miami (FL)	14 : 24

Semi-finals

1	Indiana	Oregon	56 : 22
2	Ole Miss	Miami (FL)	27 : 31

Final

1

Indiana

Miami (FL)

27 : 21