Result
10:45
16/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Pro D2 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | Canal+ Live 1, CANAL+ Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 24)
- 2nd Half (7 - 21)
Chances of winning
Nevers
52.8% | Draw
4.2% | Provence Rugby
43% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nevers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nevers's form might have worsened.Provence Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Provence Rugby's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevers than the current prediction. (+16.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Provence Rugby than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Provence Rugby, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nevers - Provence Rugby Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↑
(1.54) |
22.23 ↑
(18.14) |
2.18 ↓
(2.71) |
7.2%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevers won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Nevers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Nevers might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Nevers will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Nevers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 372:323. (average 24.8:21.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nevers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 205:101. (average 29.3:14.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Nevers won against Provence Rugby?
Nevers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Provence Rugby won against Nevers?
Provence Rugby has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nevers - Provence Rugby were as follows:
17.10.2025
Provence Rugby
-
Nevers
39:33
07.02.2025
Provence Rugby
-
Nevers
38:21
25.10.2024
Nevers
-
Provence Rugby
15:11
07.03.2024
Nevers
-
Provence Rugby
27:22
31.08.2023
Provence Rugby
-
Nevers
37:34
Latest results of Provence Rugby
French Pro D2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vannes | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 719:401 | 85 |
| 2 | Colomiers | 22 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 590:337 | 72 |
| 3 | Provence Rugby | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 662:487 | 70 |
| 4 | Valence Romans | 22 | 14 | 0 | 8 | 558:531 | 62 |
| 5 | US Oyonnax | 22 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 658:484 | 57 |
| 6 | CA Brive | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 614:485 | 55 |
| 7 | Agen | 22 | 11 | 0 | 11 | 558:521 | 52 |
| 8 | Aurillac | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 513:563 | 47 |
| 9 | Grenoble FC | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 540:587 | 45 |
| 10 | Angouleme | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 397:546 | 44 |
| 11 | Nevers | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 532:703 | 40 |
| 12 | Beziers | 22 | 9 | 0 | 13 | 442:549 | 38 |
| 13 | US Dax | 22 | 10 | 0 | 12 | 495:470 | 35 |
| 14 | Biarritz Olympique | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 561:650 | 35 |
| 15 | Mont-de-Marsan | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 458:727 | 33 |
| 16 | Carcassonne | 22 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 398:654 | 30 |
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Pro D2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Pro D2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nationale
