Nevėžis vs Neptūnas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lithuanian Division 2 Nevėžis - Neptūnas
Result
0:4
17/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Lyga - Round 9

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 30', Traore M. 🟨,
  • 31', Zubauskas D. 🟨,
  • 40', 0 - 1, Rusys M. ,
  • 44', Urbonas E. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 2, Elivelton (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', 0 - 3, ,
  • 86', 0 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Nevėžis
26.6%
Draw
25.5%
Neptūnas
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 24.7% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 24.3% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nevėžis's form might have worsened.
  • Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Neptūnas's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nevėžis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Neptūnas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Nevėžis - Neptūnas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.4
    (2.7)
    3.54
    (3.6)
    1.88
    (2.1)
    10.8%
    (12.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 1.
    • Recent form of Nevėžis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Neptūnas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nevėžis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Neptūnas has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nevėžis won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nevėžis - Neptūnas were as follows:
    11.10.2024 Neptūnas - Nevėžis 0:1
    24.05.2024 Nevėžis - Neptūnas 0:2
    28.10.2023 Nevėžis - Neptūnas 0:3
    09.06.2023 Neptūnas - Nevėžis 0:0
    26.08.2022 Nevėžis - Neptūnas 2:2
    Latest results of Nevėžis
    Latest results of Neptūnas
    Lithuanian Division 2 Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Transinvest15140148:113742
    2Neptunas16122238:142438
    3Tauras Taurage16105130:92135
    4Babrungas1694332:25731
    5BFA Vilnius1592425:16929
    6Zalgiris 21584333:221128
    7Hegelmann Litauen 21654719:26-719
    8Atmosfera1653820:21-118
    9FK Minija1652912:25-1317
    10Nevezis Kedainiai1652920:28-817
    11Jonava1545610:11-117
    12Kauno Zalgiris 216421020:31-1114
    13FK Panevezys 216411119:45-2613
    14BE1 NFA1534814:25-1113
    15Ekranas15321013:28-1511
    16Siauliai 216321122:38-1611

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          I Lyga (Relegation)
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