New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury
Result
89:76
25/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6976
Field Goals Made
2931
Field Goals %
42%40.8%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3846
2-Point Field Goals Made
1924
2-Point Field Goals %
50%52.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3130
3-Point Field Goals Made
107
3-Point Field Goals %
32.3%23.3%
Free Throws Attempted
2213
Free Throws Made
217
Free Throws %
95.5%53.8%
Offensive Rebounds
89
Defensive Rebounds
2924
Total Rebounds
3733
Assists
2121
Blocks
83
Turnovers
1614
Steals
86
Personal Fouls
1817

Chances of winning


New York Liberty
67.3%
Phoenix Mercury
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.5% 29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Liberty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Phoenix Mercury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Liberty than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.36)

    2.9
    (3.25)
    4.7%
    (4.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 171.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. New York will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Phoenix will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:83.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York won 2.
    • New York is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Phoenix has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, New York has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, New York is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New York won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1612:1680. (average 80.6:84).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 730:779. (average 81.1:86.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury were as follows:
    19.06.2025 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 81:89
    26.08.2024 Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty 70:84
    18.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty 99:93
    29.05.2024 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 81:78
    18.08.2023 Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty 63:85
    Latest results of New York Liberty
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    3Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    4Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    5Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    6Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    7Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    2Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    3Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    4Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    5Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    6Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W292452529:21860.828
    2New York Liberty W2717102347:21940.630
    3Atlanta Dream W2817112353:22080.607
    4Phoenix Mercury W2716112251:21980.593
    5Indiana Fever W2816122389:22690.571
    6Seattle Storm W2816122284:22020.571
    7Golden State Valkyries W2714132109:20960.519
    8Las Vegas Aces W2814142262:23320.500
    9Washington Mystics W2713142123:21610.481
    10Los Angeles Sparks W2712152308:23770.444
    11Dallas Wings W298212380:25100.276
    12Chicago Sky W277202071:23530.259
    13Connecticut Sun W265211943:22630.192

          Promotion ~ WNBA (Play Offs: )