Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty
Result
79:73
19/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7164
Field Goals Made
2623
Field Goals %
36.62%35.94%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4732
2-Point Field Goals Made
1716
2-Point Field Goals %
36.17%50%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2432
3-Point Field Goals Made
97
3-Point Field Goals %
37.5%21.88%
Free Throws Attempted
2226
Free Throws Made
1820
Free Throws %
81.8%76.9%
Offensive Rebounds
82
Defensive Rebounds
4131
Total Rebounds
4933
Assists
2118
Blocks
36
Turnovers
1210
Steals
87
Personal Fouls
2019

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
56.8%
New York Liberty
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • New York Liberty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Liberty than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.69)

    2.2
    (2.25)
    5%
    (3.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 155.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Phoenix will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). New York will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 80:77.
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.
    • Phoenix has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • New York is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1646:1600. (average 82.3:80).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 896:869. (average 81.5:79).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty were as follows:
    17.09.2025 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 60:86
    14.09.2025 Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty 69:76
    30.08.2025 Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty 80:63
    25.07.2025 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 89:76
    19.06.2025 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 81:89
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of New York Liberty
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Golden State Valkyries W (8)2 : 0
    2Phoenix Mercury W (4)New York Liberty W (5)2 : 1
    3Las Vegas Aces W (2)Seattle Storm W (7)2 : 1
    4Atlanta Dream W (3)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Minnesota Lynx W (1)Phoenix Mercury W (4)1 : 1
    2Las Vegas Aces W (2)Indiana Fever W (6)1 : 1