Phoenix Mercury vs New York Liberty – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball WNBA Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty
30/08/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WNBA

Chances of winning


Phoenix Mercury
50.5%
New York Liberty
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.1% 48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5% 45.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Phoenix Mercury has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • New York Liberty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Mercury than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Liberty than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.86)

    1.93
    (1.94)
    5.1%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 167.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 3.
    • Phoenix is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, New York has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • New York may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, New York has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Phoenix won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1680:1621. (average 84:81.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Phoenix won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 825:802. (average 82.5:80.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty were as follows:
    25.07.2025 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 89:76
    19.06.2025 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 81:89
    26.08.2024 Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty 70:84
    18.06.2024 Phoenix Mercury - New York Liberty 99:93
    29.05.2024 New York Liberty - Phoenix Mercury 81:78
    Latest results of Phoenix Mercury
    Latest results of New York Liberty
    WNBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W383083288:29270.789
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Phoenix Mercury W3824143160:30420.632
    4Seattle Storm W4021193300:32070.525
    5Golden State Valkyries W3719182898:28720.514
    6Los Angeles Sparks W3717203183:32660.459
    7Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Atlanta Dream W3925143254:30080.641
    2New York Liberty W3924153342:31600.615
    3Indiana Fever W3921183318:32120.538
    4Washington Mystics W3916233054:31650.410
    5Connecticut Sun W3810282906:32480.263
    6Chicago Sky W389292888:32740.237


    Overall Standings
    PlWLPCT
    1Minnesota Lynx W383083288:29270.789
    2Las Vegas Aces W4026143308:32630.650
    3Atlanta Dream W3925143254:30080.641
    4Phoenix Mercury W3824143160:30420.632
    5New York Liberty W3924153342:31600.615
    6Indiana Fever W3921183318:32120.538
    7Seattle Storm W4021193300:32070.525
    8Golden State Valkyries W3719182898:28720.514
    9Los Angeles Sparks W3717203183:32660.459
    10Washington Mystics W3916233054:31650.410
    11Connecticut Sun W3810282906:32480.263
    12Chicago Sky W389292888:32740.237
    13Dallas Wings W409313269:35240.225

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