New Zealand Breakers vs Illawarra Hawks – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
106:95
07/02/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7670
Field goals made
3931
Field goals %
51.32%44.29%
2-point field goals attempts
5640
2-point field goals made
3122
2-point field goals %
55.36%55%
3-point field goals attempts
2030
3-point field goals made
89
3-point field goals %
40%30%
Free throws attempts
2530
Free throws made
2024
Free throws %
80%80%
Offensive rebounds
813
Defensive rebounds
2831
Total rebounds
3644
Assists
2325
Blocks
13
Turnovers
917
Steals
86
Personal fouls
2121

Highlights

Chances of winning


New Zealand Breakers
27.6%
Illawarra Hawks
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 58.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Zealand Breakers's form might have worsened.
  • Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illawarra Hawks's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (+15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Zealand Breakers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illawarra Hawks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (2.3)

    1.3
    (1.64)
    6%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 191.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)
    What is the prediction for New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. NZ Breakers will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Illawarra will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. NZ Breakers (votes: 2 - 50%). Illawarra (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5, OT - Illawarra (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. NZ Breakers (votes: 2 - 40%). Illawarra (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:100.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 3.
    • NZ Breakers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Illawarra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Illawarra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Illawarra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1652:1629. (average 82.6:81.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 759:754. (average 84.3:83.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers 96:101
    31.10.2025 Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers 60:102
    08.10.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks 117:88
    05.02.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks 82:96
    11.01.2025 Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers 108:100
    Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111