Illawarra Hawks vs New Zealand Breakers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
96:101
10/01/2026 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6868
Field goals made
3935
Field goals %
57.35%51.47%
2-point field goals attempts
4136
2-point field goals made
3025
2-point field goals %
73.17%69.44%
3-point field goals attempts
2732
3-point field goals made
910
3-point field goals %
33.33%31.25%
Free throws attempts
1428
Free throws made
921
Free throws %
64.3%75%
Offensive rebounds
86
Defensive rebounds
3022
Total rebounds
3828
Assists
2422
Blocks
31
Turnovers
1912
Steals
811
Personal fouls
2319

Highlights

Chances of winning


Illawarra Hawks
64.2%
New Zealand Breakers
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.8% 34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7% 36.3%

Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.47
(1.42)

2.63
(2.73)
6.1%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 183.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -2, OT - Illawarra (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2.5, OT - Illawarra (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3, OT - Illawarra (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Illawarra (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4, OT - Illawarra (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2.5, OT - Illawarra (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5, OT - Illawarra (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5, OT - Illawarra (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Illawarra (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 95:90.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 3.
    • In recent matches, Illawarra has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • NZ Breakers is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Illawarra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Illawarra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1606:1622. (average 80.3:81.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Illawarra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 852:863. (average 77.5:78.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers were as follows:
    31.10.2025 Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers 60:102
    08.10.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks 117:88
    05.02.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks 82:96
    11.01.2025 Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers 108:100
    28.11.2024 Illawarra Hawks - New Zealand Breakers 109:71
    Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
    Latest results of New Zealand Breakers
    Australian NBL Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1South East Melbourne302193025:27480.700
    2Adelaide302192789:26390.700
    3Sydney292092823:25360.690
    4Melbourne United2918112690:25420.621
    5Perth2918112634:25050.621
    6Tasmania JackJumpers3013172585:25910.433
    7Illawarra Hawks2911182682:28180.379
    8New Zealand Breakers3011192712:27870.367
    9Cairns Taipans298212420:28200.276
    10Brisbane Bullets296232416:27900.207

          Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)