New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers
17/10/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 5
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN

Chances of winning


New Zealand Breakers
41.4%
Tasmania JackJumpers
58.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8% 59.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Tasmania JackJumpers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tasmania JackJumpers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.5)

    1.61
    (1.55)
    5.8%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 173.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)
    What is the prediction for New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers?
  • Users Predictions: New Zealand Breakers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:89.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 2.
    • Recent form of NZ Breakers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tasmania is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • NZ Breakers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tasmania has had a series of away games.
    • Tasmania will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1632:1668. (average 81.6:83.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 910:895. (average 82.7:81.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers were as follows:
    16.01.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers 85:75
    25.12.2024 Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers 97:82
    12.12.2024 New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers 76:100
    09.11.2024 Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers 83:64
    26.01.2024 New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers 94:88
    Latest results of New Zealand Breakers
    Latest results of Tasmania JackJumpers
    Australian NBL Table
    2025/26
    PlWLPCT
    1Melbourne United550507:4021.000
    2Adelaide541462:4220.800
    3Tasmania JackJumpers642509:4960.667
    4Perth532426:4240.600
    5South East Melbourne422355:3490.500
    6Sydney523437:4240.400
    7Brisbane Bullets624547:5580.333
    8Cairns Taipans624453:5550.333
    9Illawarra Hawks413374:3890.250
    10New Zealand Breakers615528:5790.167

          Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)