New Zealand Breakers vs Tasmania JackJumpers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers
Result
85:75
16/01/2025 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: NBL - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6465
Field Goals Made
3529
Field Goals %
54.7%44.6%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3641
2-Point Field Goals Made
2622
2-Point Field Goals %
72.2%53.7%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2824
3-Point Field Goals Made
97
3-Point Field Goals %
32.1%29.2%
Free Throws Attempted
1012
Free Throws Made
610
Free Throws %
60%83.3%
Offensive Rebounds
911
Defensive Rebounds
2622
Total Rebounds
3533
Assists
2419
Blocks
51
Turnovers
1716
Steals
99
Personal Fouls
1612

Chances of winning


New Zealand Breakers
53.6%
Tasmania JackJumpers
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Zealand Breakers's performance.
  • Tasmania JackJumpers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tasmania JackJumpers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Zealand Breakers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tasmania JackJumpers than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tasmania JackJumpers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (2.26)

    2.03
    (1.56)
    6.1%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 175.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers?
  • Users Predictions: New Zealand Breakers will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 90:87.
  • Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches NZ Breakers won 2.
    • NZ Breakers is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Tasmania is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tasmania could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Tasmania have a series of home games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 19 head-to-head matches NZ Breakers won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1547:1593 (average 81.4:83.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams NZ Breakers won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 825:820 (average 82.5:82).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers were as follows:
    25.12.2024 Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers 97:82
    12.12.2024 New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers 76:100
    09.11.2024 Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers 83:64
    26.01.2024 New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers 94:88
    01.01.2024 Tasmania JackJumpers - New Zealand Breakers 93:98
    Latest results of New Zealand Breakers
    Latest results of Tasmania JackJumpers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks (1)Bye
    3South East Melbourne (4)Bye
    4Sydney (5)Adelaide (6)88 : 95
    5Melbourne United (2)Bye
    8Perth (3)South East Melbourne (4)122 : 105

    Quarter-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks (1)Bye
    2South East Melbourne (4)Adelaide (6)85 : 75
    3Melbourne United (2)Bye
    4ByePerth (3)

    Semi-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks (1)South East Melbourne (4)2 : 1
    2Melbourne United (2)Perth (3)2 : 1

    Final
    1Illawarra Hawks (1)Melbourne United (2)3 : 2