Newcastle Falcons vs Benetton Treviso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Challenge Cup Rugby Newcastle Falcons - Benetton Treviso
Result
18:57
12/01/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: CHALLENGE CUP - ROUND 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomViaplay

Highlights

Chances of winning


Newcastle Falcons
29%
Draw
4.3%
Benetton Treviso
66.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.2% 4.2% 64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 4.5% 60.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle Falcons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Benetton Treviso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benetton Treviso than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Benetton Treviso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Newcastle Falcons - Benetton Treviso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (2.94)
    21.25
    (22)
    1.37
    (1.42)
    9.4%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 45.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle Falcons - Benetton Treviso?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Benetton will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 20:27.
  • Preview Facts
    • Newcastle Falcons has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Benetton is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Benetton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Benetton is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Benetton to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Latest results of Benetton Treviso
    30.12.2023 Benetton Treviso - Zebre 36:14
    23.12.2023 Zebre - Benetton Treviso 24:31
    16.12.2023 Benetton Treviso - Perpignan 29:7
    09.12.2023 Ospreys - Benetton Treviso 43:34
    02.12.2023 Benetton Treviso - Ospreys 18:13
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1EdinburghLions24 : 12
    2Aviron BayonnaisBulls22 : 32
    3Section PaloiseBath24 : 49
    4MontpellierGloucester17 : 24
    5OspreysScarlets36 : 14
    6LyonSharks34 : 21
    7ConnachtCardiff Rugby35 : 20
    8USA PerpignanRacing 9218 : 24

    Quarter-finals
    1EdinburghBulls34 : 28
    2BathGloucester61 : 26
    3OspreysLyon18 : 20
    4ConnachtRacing 9240 : 43

    Semi-finals
    1EdinburghBath24 : 39
    2LyonRacing 9229 : 15

    Final
    1BathLyon37 : 12