Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Falcons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 East Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons
28/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East

Chances of winning


Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
61.8%
Newcastle Falcons
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manly Warringah Sea Eagles's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Falcons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Falcons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.34)

    2.45
    (2.82)
    7.1%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 169.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Manly Warringah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newcastle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Manly Warringah is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly Warringah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 326:382. (average 65.2:76.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manly Warringah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 149:148. (average 74.5:74).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons were as follows:
    22.06.2024 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons 87:75
    11.05.2024 Newcastle Falcons - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 68:66
    18.03.2023 Newcastle Falcons - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 77:41
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)Sydney Comets (4)116 : 76
    4Norths Bears (6)Manly W. (7)81 : 73
    5Canberra (2)BA CoE (3)88 : 72
    8Bankstown Bruins (5)Sutherland Sharks (8)84 : 89

    Quarter-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)Bye
    2BA CoE (3)Norths Bears (6)97 : 88
    3Canberra (2)Bye
    4Sydney Comets (4)Sutherland Sharks (8)66 : 72

    Semi-finals
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)BA CoE (3)98 : 89
    2Canberra (2)Sutherland Sharks (8)84 : 76

    Final
    1Illawarra Hawks 2 (1)Canberra (2)