Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Newcastle Falcons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East

Chances of winning


Manly Warringah Sea Eagles
61.8%
Newcastle Falcons
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.9% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manly Warringah Sea Eagles's form might have worsened.
  • Newcastle Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Falcons's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Falcons than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Falcons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.34)

    2.45
    (2.82)
    7.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 169.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • Manly Warringah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newcastle is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Manly Warringah is the team to beat.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly Warringah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 326:382. (average 65.2:76.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manly Warringah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 149:148. (average 74.5:74).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons were as follows:
    22.06.2024 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - Newcastle Falcons 87:75
    11.05.2024 Newcastle Falcons - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 68:66
    18.03.2023 Newcastle Falcons - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 77:41
    Latest results of Newcastle Falcons
    Australian NBL1 East Table
    2026
    PlWLPts
    1Canberra550403:37410
    2BA CoE440336:2638
    3Norths Bears761595:50913
    4Manly W651548:41811
    5Illawarra Hawks 2651596:49911
    6Bankstown Bruins642556:54510
    7Hills Hornets532409:4198
    8Sydney Comets633490:4399
    9Inner West Bulls633469:4909
    10Central Coast Crusaders734577:60410
    11Maitland M624477:4888
    12Sutherland Sharks413308:3235
    13Newcastle Falcons505319:3945
    14Hornsby S505400:4875
    15Penrith P505310:4235
    16Albury-Wodonga Bandits505388:5065

          Promotion ~ NBL1 East (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)