Newcastle North Stars vs Brisbane Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Australian Ice Hockey League Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning
Result
6:1
29/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AIHL - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 01:50, 1 - 0, Darge W. (G), Kubara C. (A),
  • 09:35, 1 - 1, Miller C. (G), Campbell B. (A), Hopps T. (A2)
  • 15:43, 2 - 1, Skachkov Y. (G), Tallberg K. (A), Ellen H. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 09:44, 3 - 1, Annesley R. (G), Tallberg K. (A), Kubara C. (A2)
  • 12:26, 4 - 1, Taylor B. (G), Skachkov Y. (A),
  • 15:31, 5 - 1, Tallberg K. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Drolet F. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 15:58, 6 - 1, Kubara C. (G), Darge W. (A),

Chances of winning


Newcastle North Stars
67.1%
Draw
15.3%
Brisbane Lightning
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 15.9% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 15% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle North Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle North Stars's performance.
  • Brisbane Lightning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brisbane Lightning might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle North Stars that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Lightning than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brisbane Lightning could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.4
    (1.57)
    6.13
    (5.5)
    5.32
    (3.1)
    6.7%
    (14.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.75
  • What is the prediction for Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 6:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Brisbane may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of away games.
    • Newcastle could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Newcastle will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 77:47. (average 6.4:3.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 7:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning were as follows:
    24.08.2025 Brisbane Lightning - Newcastle North Stars 8:4
    23.08.2025 Brisbane Lightning - Newcastle North Stars 1:11
    13.07.2025 Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning 8:4
    12.07.2025 Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning 7:3
    30.06.2024 Newcastle North Stars - Brisbane Lightning 3:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Ice (1)Bye
    2Newcastle (4)Brisbane Lightning (5)6 : 1
    3CBR Brave (2)Bye
    4Perth (3)Melbourne Mustangs (6)5 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Ice (1)Newcastle (4)6 : 4
    2CBR Brave (2)Perth (3)6 : 1

    Final
    1Melbourne Ice (1)CBR Brave (2)7 : 3