Aston Villa vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
1:3
14/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsnet 360, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, SuperSport 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV3+, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4, HUB Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldDaystar Pacific

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.771.31
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
23
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
65
Passes
81% (294/362)85% (406/476)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.771.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.541.24
Total shots
812
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2531
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1011
Passes
81% (294/362)85% (406/476)
Long passes
42% (19/45)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
71% (60/84)76% (138/181)
Crosses
58% (7/12)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.201.04
Throw ins
1316
Fouls
1110
Tackles
35% (7/20)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5449
Clearances
2421
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
01
xGOT faced
1.240.54
Goals prevented
-1.76-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Abraham T. ⚽, Douglas Luiz (A),
  • 25', Thiaw M. 🟨,
  • 42', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Bizot M. 🟥,
  • 45+4', Bailey L. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 52', Barnes H. 🟨,
  • 55', Ramsey J. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Tonali S. ⚽,
  • 63', Osula W. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
  • 63', Murphy J. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
  • 65', Abraham T. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
  • 65', Barkley R. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Tonali S. ⚽, Burn D. (A),
  • 77', Rogers M. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
  • 78', Douglas Luiz ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
  • 80', Ramsey J. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Woltemade N. ⚽,
  • 90', Trippier K. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
39.8%		Draw
27.2%		Newcastle United
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 26.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 25.4% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.39 ↑
    (2.23)    		 3.47 ↓
    (3.6)    		 2.88 ↓
    (2.95)    		 5.4%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Newcastle will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 31.2% – 83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Newcastle (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Newcastle (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Aston Villa (3.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Aston Villa (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aston Villa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
    • Aston Villa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newcastle's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of away games.
    • Aston Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Newcastle United were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 0:2
    16.08.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 0:0
    19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1
    26.12.2024 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 3:0
    30.01.2024 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 1:3
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    11.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 1:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brentford 0:1 ✺
    29.01.2026 Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg 3:2 ✺
    25.01.2026 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    10.02.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Newcastle United - Brentford 2:3 ✺
    04.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 3:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Liverpool - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺
    28.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    4ByeNottingham
    5IpswichBye
    7BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    8ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    9HullBye
    12ByeBlackburn
    13CharltonBye
    16ByeChelsea
    17Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    18BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    19FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    20LutonForest Green4 : 3
    21Bristol CityBye
    24ByeWatford
    25ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    26OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    28ByeOxford Utd
    29EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    50Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    52ByeBirmingham
    53DerbyBye
    56ByeLeeds
    57NorwichBye
    59AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    60EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    61SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97StokeBye
    100ByeCoventry
    101FulhamBye
    104ByeMiddlesbrough
    105StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    106CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    108ByeSouthampton
    109CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    110BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    112ByeLeicester
    113BurnleyBye
    116ByeMillwall
    117Sheffield UtdBye
    119GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    120MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    121PortsmouthBye
    124ByeArsenal
    125PrestonBye
    127WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    128SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2

    1/64-finals
    1WrexhamBye
    2ByeNottingham
    3IpswichBye
    4BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    5HullBye
    6ByeBlackburn
    7CharltonBye
    8ByeChelsea
    9Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    10FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    11Bristol CityBye
    12ByeWatford
    13MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    14ByeOxford Utd
    15EvertonBye
    16ByeSunderland
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    26ByeBirmingham
    27DerbyBye
    28ByeLeeds
    29NorwichBye
    30GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    31SwanseaBye
    32ByeWest Brom
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49StokeBye
    50ByeCoventry
    51FulhamBye
    52ByeMiddlesbrough
    53ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    54ByeSouthampton
    55CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    56ByeLeicester
    57BurnleyBye
    58ByeMillwall
    59Sheffield UtdBye
    60AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    61PortsmouthBye
    62ByeArsenal
    63PrestonBye
    64WiganBarrow3 : 2

    1/32-finals
    1WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    2IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    3HullBlackburn1 : 0
    4CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    5Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    6Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    7MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    8EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    14DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    15NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    16SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25StokeCoventry1 : 0
    26FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    27DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    28CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    29BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    30Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    31PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    32PrestonWigan0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    2HullChelsea0 : 4
    3Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    4Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    8NorwichWest Brom3 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13StokeFulham1 : 2
    14SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    15BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    16ArsenalWigan4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    2Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    3West HamBrentford3 : 2
    4LeedsNorwich3 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    8MansfieldArsenal1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ChelseaPort Vale7 : 0
    2West HamLeeds2 : 3
    3Manchester CityLiverpool4 : 0
    4SouthamptonArsenal2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ChelseaLeeds
    2Manchester CitySouthampton
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