Result
1:3
14/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FA Cup - 1/16-finals
- Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Albania | SuperSport 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Sportsnet 360, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World |
 China | Migu |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Hungary | Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia, Discovery+ |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2, SuperSport 1 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka |
 Maldives | Medianet |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League |
 Norway | TV3+, Viaplay |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Singapore | Hub Premier 4, HUB Sports 2 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 1, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Tabii Spor 1, Tabii |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
 United-kingdom | BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Uzbekistan | Zor TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Daystar Pacific |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/362) | 85% (406/476) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/362) | 85% (406/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (19/45) | 56% (24/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (60/84) | 76% (138/181) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.76 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
- 14', 1 - 0, Abraham T. ⚽, Douglas Luiz (A),
- 25', Thiaw M. 🟨,
- 42', Digne L. 🟨,
- 45+1', Bizot M. 🟥,
- 45+4', Bailey L. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 52', Barnes H. 🟨,
- 55', Ramsey J. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 1, Tonali S. ⚽,
- 63', Osula W. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
- 63', Murphy J. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
- 65', Abraham T. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
- 65', Barkley R. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 2, Tonali S. ⚽, Burn D. (A),
- 77', Rogers M. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
- 78', Douglas Luiz ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
- 80', Ramsey J. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 3, Woltemade N. ⚽,
- 90', Trippier K. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aston Villa
39.8% | Draw
27.2% | Newcastle United
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Aston Villa - Newcastle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↑
(2.23) |
3.47 ↓
(3.6) |
2.88 ↓
(2.95) |
5.4%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Newcastle United?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Newcastle will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 31.2% – 83%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Newcastle (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Newcastle (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Aston Villa (3.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Aston Villa (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 22.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
- Aston Villa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Newcastle's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Newcastle has had a series of away games.
- Aston Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Aston Villa won against Newcastle United?
Aston Villa has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Aston Villa?
Newcastle United has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Newcastle United were as follows:
25.01.2026
Newcastle United
-
Aston Villa
0:2
16.08.2025
Aston Villa
-
Newcastle United
0:0
19.04.2025
Aston Villa
-
Newcastle United
4:1
26.12.2024
Newcastle United
-
Aston Villa
3:0
30.01.2024
Aston Villa
-
Newcastle United
1:3
Latest results of Aston Villa
Latest results of Newcastle United
Draw
Main1/128-finals| 1 | Stoke | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Coventry | |
| 5 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Middlesbrough | |
| 9 | Stevenage | Chesterfield | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Crewe | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Southampton | |
| 13 | Cheltenham | Bradford City | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Buxton | Chatham | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Leicester | |
| 17 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 21 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Bournemouth | |
| 25 | Manchester City | Bye | |
| 27 | FC Halifax | Exeter | 0 : 2 |
| 28 | Wycombe | Plymouth | 2 : 0 |
| 29 | Salford | Lincoln | 2 : 1 |
| 30 | Tamworth | Leyton Orient | 0 : 1 |
| 31 | Rotherham | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 32 | Bolton | Huddersfield | 2 : 1 |
| 33 | Boreham Wood | Crawley | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Newport | Gillingham | 3 : 2 |
| 35 | Brackley Town | Notts Co | 3 : 2 |
| 36 | Burton | St. Albans | 6 : 0 |
| 37 | West Ham | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | QPR | |
| 41 | Slough | Altrincham | 2 : 1 |
| 42 | Macclesfield | AFC Totton | 6 : 3 |
| 44 | Bye | Crystal Palace | |
| 45 | Sheffield Wed | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 49 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Millwall | |
| 53 | Sheffield Utd | Bye | |
| 55 | Gainsborough | Accrington | 1 : 2 |
| 56 | Mansfield | Harrogate | 3 : 2 |
| 57 | Portsmouth | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 61 | Preston | Bye | |
| 63 | Wigan | Hemel Hempstead | 2 : 1 |
| 64 | Spennymoor | Barrow | 0 : 2 |
| 65 | Grimsby | Ebbsfleet | 3 : 1 |
| 66 | Wealdstone | Southend | 1 : 0 |
| 67 | Chelmsford | Braintree | 4 : 1 |
| 68 | Weston-super-Mare | Aldershot | 2 : 1 |
| 69 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 71 | Sutton | AFC Telford | 2 : 1 |
| 72 | South Shields | Shrewsbury | 1 : 3 |
| 73 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 75 | Peterborough | Cardiff | 1 : 0 |
| 76 | Barnsley | York City | 3 : 2 |
| 77 | Manchester Utd | Bye | |
| 80 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 81 | Port Vale | Maldon & Tiptree | 5 : 1 |
| 82 | Bromley | Bristol Rovers | 1 : 2 |
| 83 | Fleetwood | Barnet | 2 : 1 |
| 84 | Luton | Forest Green | 4 : 3 |
| 85 | Bristol City | Bye | |
| 88 | Bye | Watford | |
| 89 | Colchester | MK Dons | 2 : 3 |
| 90 | Oldham | Northampton | 3 : 1 |
| 92 | Bye | Oxford Utd | |
| 93 | Everton | Bye | |
| 96 | Bye | Sunderland | |
| 97 | Wrexham | Bye | |
| 100 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 101 | Ipswich | Bye | |
| 103 | Blackpool | Scunthorpe | 1 : 0 |
| 104 | Reading | Carlisle | 2 : 3 |
| 105 | Hull | Bye | |
| 108 | Bye | Blackburn | |
| 109 | Charlton | Bye | |
| 112 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 113 | Tranmere | Stockport County | 1 : 3 |
| 114 | Cambridge Utd | Chester | 3 : 0 |
| 116 | Bye | Birmingham | |
| 117 | Derby | Bye | |
| 120 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 121 | Norwich | Bye | |
| 123 | AFC Wimbledon | Gateshead | 0 : 2 |
| 124 | Eastleigh | Walsall | 0 : 3 |
| 125 | Swansea | Bye | |
| 128 | Bye | West Brom | |
1/64-finals| 1 | Stoke | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Coventry | |
| 3 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Middlesbrough | |
| 5 | Chesterfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Southampton | |
| 7 | Cheltenham | Buxton | 6 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Leicester | |
| 9 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 11 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Bournemouth | |
| 13 | Manchester City | Bye | |
| 14 | Exeter | Wycombe | 4 : 0 |
| 15 | Salford | Leyton Orient | 4 : 0 |
| 16 | Swindon | Bolton | 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Boreham Wood | Newport | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Brackley Town | Burton | 1 : 3 |
| 19 | West Ham | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | QPR | |
| 21 | Slough | Macclesfield | 1 : 3 |
| 22 | Bye | Crystal Palace | |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 25 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 26 | Bye | Millwall | |
| 27 | Sheffield Utd | Bye | |
| 28 | Accrington | Mansfield | 2 : 3 |
| 29 | Portsmouth | Bye | |
| 30 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 31 | Preston | Bye | |
| 32 | Wigan | Barrow | 3 : 2 |
| 33 | Grimsby | Wealdstone | 4 : 0 |
| 34 | Chelmsford | Weston-super-Mare | 0 : 2 |
| 35 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 36 | Sutton | Shrewsbury | 1 : 2 |
| 37 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 38 | Peterborough | Barnsley | 0 : 1 |
| 39 | Manchester Utd | Bye | |
| 40 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 41 | Port Vale | Bristol Rovers | 1 : 0 |
| 42 | Fleetwood | Luton | 3 : 2 |
| 43 | Bristol City | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Watford | |
| 45 | MK Dons | Oldham | 3 : 1 |
| 46 | Bye | Oxford Utd | |
| 47 | Everton | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Sunderland | |
| 49 | Wrexham | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 51 | Ipswich | Bye | |
| 52 | Blackpool | Carlisle | 4 : 1 |
| 53 | Hull | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Blackburn | |
| 55 | Charlton | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 57 | Stockport County | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 1 |
| 58 | Bye | Birmingham | |
| 59 | Derby | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 61 | Norwich | Bye | |
| 62 | Gateshead | Walsall | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Swansea | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | West Brom | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Stoke | Coventry | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Fulham | Middlesbrough | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Southampton | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | Leicester | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Tottenham | Aston Villa | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Newcastle | Bournemouth | 4 : 3 |
| 7 | Manchester City | Exeter | 10 : 1 |
| 8 | Salford | Swindon | 3 : 2 |
| 9 | Boreham Wood | Burton | 0 : 5 |
| 10 | West Ham | QPR | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Macclesfield | Crystal Palace | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Sheffield Wed | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Burnley | Millwall | 5 : 1 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | Mansfield | 3 : 4 |
| 15 | Portsmouth | Arsenal | 1 : 4 |
| 16 | Preston | Wigan | 0 : 1 |
| 17 | Grimsby | Weston-super-Mare | 3 : 2 |
| 18 | Wolves | Shrewsbury | 6 : 1 |
| 19 | Liverpool | Barnsley | 4 : 1 |
| 20 | Manchester Utd | Brighton | 1 : 2 |
| 21 | Port Vale | Fleetwood | 1 : 0 |
| 22 | Bristol City | Watford | 5 : 1 |
| 23 | MK Dons | Oxford Utd | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Everton | Sunderland | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Wrexham | Nottingham | 4 : 3 |
| 26 | Ipswich | Blackpool | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Hull | Blackburn | 1 : 0 |
| 28 | Charlton | Chelsea | 1 : 5 |
| 29 | Cambridge Utd | Birmingham | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | Derby | Leeds | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Norwich | Walsall | 5 : 1 |
| 32 | Swansea | West Brom | 2 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Stoke | Fulham | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Southampton | Leicester | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | Newcastle | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Manchester City | Salford | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Burton | West Ham | 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Macclesfield | Brentford | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Burnley | Mansfield | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Arsenal | Wigan | 4 : 0 |
| 9 | Grimsby | Wolves | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Liverpool | Brighton | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Port Vale | Bristol City | |
| 12 | Oxford Utd | Sunderland | 0 : 1 |
| 13 | Wrexham | Ipswich | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Hull | Chelsea | 0 : 4 |
| 15 | Birmingham | Leeds | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Norwich | West Brom | 3 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fulham | Southampton | |
| 2 | Newcastle | Manchester City | |
| 3 | West Ham | Brentford | |
| 4 | Mansfield | Arsenal | |
| 5 | Wolves | Liverpool | |
| 6 | TBD #11 | Sunderland | |
| 7 | Wrexham | Chelsea | |
| 8 | Leeds | Norwich | |
