Aston Villa vs Newcastle United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
1:3
14/02/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaSportsnet 360, Sportsnet+, Sportsnet World
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
hungaryHungarySpiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyDAZN Italia, Discovery+
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, SuperSport 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
norwayNorwayTV3+, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporeHub Premier 4, HUB Sports 2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 1, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamFPT Play
worldWorldDaystar Pacific

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.771.31
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
23
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
65
Passes
81% (294/362)85% (406/476)
Yellow cards
23
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.771.31
xG on target (xGOT)
0.541.24
Total shots
812
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
68
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2531
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
13
Free kicks
1011
Passes
81% (294/362)85% (406/476)
Long passes
42% (19/45)56% (24/43)
Passes in final third
71% (60/84)76% (138/181)
Crosses
58% (7/12)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.201.04
Throw ins
1316
Fouls
1110
Tackles
35% (7/20)53% (9/17)
Duels won
5449
Clearances
2421
Interceptions
115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
01
xGOT faced
1.240.54
Goals prevented
-1.76-0.46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', Douglas Luiz 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 0, Abraham T. ⚽, Douglas Luiz (A),
  • 25', Thiaw M. 🟨,
  • 42', Digne L. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Bizot M. 🟥,
  • 45+4', Bailey L. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 52', Barnes H. 🟨,
  • 55', Ramsey J. 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 1, Tonali S. ⚽,
  • 63', Osula W. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
  • 63', Murphy J. ↓, Elanga A. ↑,
  • 65', Abraham T. ↓, Watkins O. ↑,
  • 65', Barkley R. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
  • 76', 1 - 2, Tonali S. ⚽, Burn D. (A),
  • 77', Rogers M. ↓, Maatsen I. ↑,
  • 78', Douglas Luiz ↓, Sancho J. ↑,
  • 80', Ramsey J. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
  • 88', 1 - 3, Woltemade N. ⚽,
  • 90', Trippier K. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,

Chances of winning


Aston Villa
39.8%		Draw
27.2%		Newcastle United
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 26.1% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 25.4% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
    •

    Aston Villa - Newcastle United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.39 ↑
    (2.23)    		 3.47 ↓
    (3.6)    		 2.88 ↓
    (2.95)    		 5.4%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Aston Villa - Newcastle United?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Aston Villa will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Newcastle will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Aston Villa: 31.2% – 83%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Newcastle (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Newcastle (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Aston Villa (3.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Aston Villa (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Aston Villa will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Newcastle (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 2.
    • Aston Villa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Newcastle's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Newcastle has had a series of away games.
    • Aston Villa might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aston Villa won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aston Villa won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aston Villa - Newcastle United were as follows:
    25.01.2026 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 0:2
    16.08.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 0:0
    19.04.2025 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 4:1
    26.12.2024 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 3:0
    30.01.2024 Aston Villa - Newcastle United 1:3
    Latest results of Aston Villa
    11.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:0 ✺
    07.02.2026 Bournemouth - Aston Villa 1:1 ✺
    01.02.2026 Aston Villa - Brentford 0:1 ✺
    29.01.2026 Aston Villa - Red Bull Salzburg 3:2 ✺
    25.01.2026 Newcastle United - Aston Villa 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    10.02.2026 Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Newcastle United - Brentford 2:3 ✺
    04.02.2026 Manchester City - Newcastle United 3:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Liverpool - Newcastle United 4:1 ✺
    28.01.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17BurnleyBye
    20ByeMillwall
    21Sheffield UtdBye
    23GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    24MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    25PortsmouthBye
    28ByeArsenal
    29PrestonBye
    31WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    32SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41HullBye
    44ByeBlackburn
    45CharltonBye
    48ByeChelsea
    49Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    50BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    51FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    52LutonForest Green4 : 3
    53Bristol CityBye
    56ByeWatford
    57ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    58OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    60ByeOxford Utd
    61EvertonBye
    64ByeSunderland
    65TottenhamBye
    68ByeAston Villa
    69NewcastleBye
    72ByeBournemouth
    73Manchester CityBye
    75FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    76WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    77SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    78TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    79RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    80BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    81GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    82WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    83ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    84Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    85WolvesBye
    87SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    88South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    89LiverpoolBye
    91PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    92BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    93Manchester UtdBye
    96ByeBrighton
    97Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    98NewportGillingham3 : 2
    99Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    100BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    101West HamBye
    104ByeQPR
    105SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    106MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    108ByeCrystal Palace
    109Sheffield WedBye
    112ByeBrentford
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9BurnleyBye
    10ByeMillwall
    11Sheffield UtdBye
    12AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    13PortsmouthBye
    14ByeArsenal
    15PrestonBye
    16WiganBarrow3 : 2
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21HullBye
    22ByeBlackburn
    23CharltonBye
    24ByeChelsea
    25Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    26FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    27Bristol CityBye
    28ByeWatford
    29MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    30ByeOxford Utd
    31EvertonBye
    32ByeSunderland
    33TottenhamBye
    34ByeAston Villa
    35NewcastleBye
    36ByeBournemouth
    37Manchester CityBye
    38ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    39SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    40SwindonBolton4 : 0
    41GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    42ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    43WolvesBye
    44SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    45LiverpoolBye
    46PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    47Manchester UtdBye
    48ByeBrighton
    49Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    50Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    51West HamBye
    52ByeQPR
    53SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    54ByeCrystal Palace
    55Sheffield WedBye
    56ByeBrentford
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    6Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    7PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    8PrestonWigan0 : 1
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11HullBlackburn1 : 0
    12CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    13Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    14Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    15MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    16EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    17TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    18NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    19Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    20SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    21GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    22WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    23LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    24Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    25Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    26West HamQPR2 : 1
    27MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    28Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    4ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    5WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    6HullChelsea0 : 4
    7Port ValeBristol City1 : 0
    8Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    9Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    10Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    11GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    12LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    13BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    14MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton0 : 1
    2MansfieldArsenal1 : 2
    3WrexhamChelsea2 : 4
    4Port ValeSunderland1 : 0
    5NewcastleManchester City1 : 3
    6WolvesLiverpool1 : 3
    7West HamBrentford3 : 2
    8LeedsNorwich3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1SouthamptonArsenal
    2ChelseaPort Vale
    3Manchester CityLiverpool
    4West HamLeeds
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