Newcastle United vs Bournemouth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English FA Cup
Result
4:3 penalties
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+, ESPN 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 5
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanU-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mauritiusMauritiusMBC 11
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
singaporeSingaporeHUB Sports 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.862.46
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
2322
Shots on target
713
Big chances
86
Corner kicks
75
Passes
85% (583/684)72% (295/408)
Yellow cards
15
Expected goals (xG)
3.862.46
xG on target (xGOT)
3.723.19
Total shots
2322
Shots on target
713
Shots off target
136
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
1714
Shots outside the box
68
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
86
Corner kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
6732
Accurate through passes
15
Offsides
31
Free kicks
217
Passes
85% (583/684)72% (295/408)
Long passes
52% (32/62)32% (28/88)
Passes in final third
79% (164/208)54% (71/132)
Crosses
39% (14/36)18% (3/17)
Expected assists (xA)
4.021.59
Throw ins
2330
Fouls
721
Tackles
65% (13/20)43% (10/23)
Duels won
8065
Clearances
3658
Interceptions
1215
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
104
xGOT faced
3.193.72
Goals prevented
0.190.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 28', Unal E. ↓, Evanilson ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', 1 - 0, Barnes H. ⚽, Woltemade N. (A),
  • 59', Livramento V. ↓, Hall L. ↑,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Scott A. ⚽, Evanilson (A),
  • 68', 1 - 2, Brooks D. ⚽,
  • 69', Wissa Y. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
  • 69', Trippier K. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
  • 70', Willock J. ↓, Joelinton ↑,
  • 71', Adli A. ↓, Tavernier M. ↑,
  • 71', Brooks D. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
  • 76', Soler J. 🟨,
  • 79', Ramsey J. ↓, Bruno Guimaraes ↑,
  • 81', Scott A. 🟨,
  • 83', Soler J. ↓, Truffert A. ↑,
  • 86', Tavernier M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Petrovic D. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Gordon A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 91', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Senesi M. ↑,
  • 95', Cook L. 🟨,
  • 112', Scott A. ↓, Rees-Dottin R. ↑,
  • 118', 3 - 2, Barnes H. ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
  • 120+2', 3 - 3, Tavernier M. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
  • Penalties (7 - 6)
  • 1, Gordon A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Tavernier M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Woltemade N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Evanilson (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Bruno Guimaraes (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Cook L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Tonali S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Jimenez A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Joelinton (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Senesi M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Hall L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Hill J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Miley L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 7, Truffert A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Barnes H. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 8, Smith A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 9, Thiaw M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 9, Diakite B. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
60.1%		Draw
20.4%		Bournemouth
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.4% 23.8% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54% 23.5% 22.6%

Newcastle United - Bournemouth Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.58 ↓
(1.77)		 4.6 ↑
(3.96)		 4.87 ↑
(4.12)		 5.6%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Bournemouth?
  • Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 23 - 79.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 20.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 64.6% – 94%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Newcastle (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Newcastle (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0.
    • Newcastle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bournemouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Bournemouth were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 0:0
    18.01.2025 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 1:4
    25.08.2024 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 1:1
    17.02.2024 Newcastle United - Bournemouth 2:2
    11.11.2023 Bournemouth - Newcastle United 2:0
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    07.01.2026 Newcastle United - Leeds United 4:3 ✺
    04.01.2026 Newcastle United - Crystal Palace 2:0 ✺
    30.12.2025 Burnley - Newcastle United 1:3 ✺
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Bournemouth
    07.01.2026 Bournemouth - Tottenham Hotspur 3:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Bournemouth - Arsenal 2:3 ✺
    30.12.2025 Chelsea - Bournemouth 2:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 Brentford - Bournemouth 4:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Bournemouth - Burnley 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1LiverpoolBye
    3PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    4BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    5Manchester UtdBye
    8ByeBrighton
    9StokeBye
    12ByeCoventry
    13FulhamBye
    16ByeMiddlesbrough
    17ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    18OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    20ByeOxford Utd
    21EvertonBye
    24ByeSunderland
    25StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    26CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    28ByeSouthampton
    29CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    30BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    32ByeLeicester
    33WrexhamBye
    36ByeNottingham
    37IpswichBye
    39BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    40ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    41PortsmouthBye
    44ByeArsenal
    45PrestonBye
    47WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    48SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    49HullBye
    52ByeBlackburn
    53CharltonBye
    56ByeChelsea
    57Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    58NewportGillingham3 : 2
    59Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    60BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    61West HamBye
    64ByeQPR
    65BurnleyBye
    68ByeMillwall
    69Sheffield UtdBye
    71GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    72MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    73NorwichBye
    75AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    76EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    77SwanseaBye
    80ByeWest Brom
    81Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    82BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    83FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    84LutonForest Green4 : 3
    85Bristol CityBye
    88ByeWatford
    89GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    90WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    91ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    92Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    93WolvesBye
    95SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    96South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    97TottenhamBye
    100ByeAston Villa
    101NewcastleBye
    104ByeBournemouth
    105Manchester CityBye
    107FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    108WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    109SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    110TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    111RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    112BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    113SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    114MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    116ByeCrystal Palace
    117Sheffield WedBye
    120ByeBrentford
    121TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    122Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    124ByeBirmingham
    125DerbyBye
    128ByeLeeds

    1/64-finals
    1LiverpoolBye
    2PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    3Manchester UtdBye
    4ByeBrighton
    5StokeBye
    6ByeCoventry
    7FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    10ByeOxford Utd
    11EvertonBye
    12ByeSunderland
    13ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    14ByeSouthampton
    15CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    16ByeLeicester
    17WrexhamBye
    18ByeNottingham
    19IpswichBye
    20BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    21PortsmouthBye
    22ByeArsenal
    23PrestonBye
    24WiganBarrow3 : 2
    25HullBye
    26ByeBlackburn
    27CharltonBye
    28ByeChelsea
    29Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    30Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    31West HamBye
    32ByeQPR
    33BurnleyBye
    34ByeMillwall
    35Sheffield UtdBye
    36AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    37NorwichBye
    38GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    39SwanseaBye
    40ByeWest Brom
    41Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    42FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    43Bristol CityBye
    44ByeWatford
    45GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    46ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    47WolvesBye
    48SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    49TottenhamBye
    50ByeAston Villa
    51NewcastleBye
    52ByeBournemouth
    53Manchester CityBye
    54ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    55SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    56SwindonBolton4 : 0
    57SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    58ByeCrystal Palace
    59Sheffield WedBye
    60ByeBrentford
    61Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    62ByeBirmingham
    63DerbyBye
    64ByeLeeds

    1/32-finals
    1LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    2Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    3StokeCoventry1 : 0
    4FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    5MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    6EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    7DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    8CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    9WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    10IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    11PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    12PrestonWigan0 : 1
    13HullBlackburn1 : 0
    14CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    15Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    16West HamQPR2 : 1
    17BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    18Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    19NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    20SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3
    21Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    22Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    23GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    24WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    25TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    26NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    27Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    28SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    29MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    30Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    31Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    32DerbyLeeds1 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1LiverpoolBrighton
    2StokeFulham
    3Oxford UtdSunderland
    4SouthamptonLeicester
    5WrexhamIpswich
    6ArsenalWigan
    7HullChelsea
    8BurtonWest Ham
    9BurnleyMansfield
    10NorwichWest Brom
    11Port ValeBristol City
    12GrimsbyWolves
    13Aston VillaNewcastle
    14Manchester CitySalford
    15MacclesfieldBrentford
    16BirminghamLeeds
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