Result
4:3 penalties
10/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FA Cup - 1/32-finals
- Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Denmark | Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mauritius | MBC 11 |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 1 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Nigeria | Supersport Maximo 1 |
 North-central-america | RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Singapore | HUB Sports 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-africa | Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.86 | 2.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (583/684) | 72% (295/408) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.86 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.72 | 3.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 67 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (583/684) | 72% (295/408) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (32/62) | 32% (28/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (164/208) | 54% (71/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (14/36) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 4.02 | 1.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 43% (10/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 80 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 58 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.19 | 3.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Unal E. ↓, Evanilson ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 0, Barnes H. ⚽, Woltemade N. (A),
- 59', Livramento V. ↓, Hall L. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Scott A. ⚽, Evanilson (A),
- 68', 1 - 2, Brooks D. ⚽,
- 69', Wissa Y. ↓, Gordon A. ↑,
- 69', Trippier K. ↓, Miley L. ↑,
- 70', Willock J. ↓, Joelinton ↑,
- 71', Adli A. ↓, Tavernier M. ↑,
- 71', Brooks D. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
- 76', Soler J. 🟨,
- 79', Ramsey J. ↓, Bruno Guimaraes ↑,
- 81', Scott A. 🟨,
- 83', Soler J. ↓, Truffert A. ↑,
- 86', Tavernier M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Petrovic D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bruno Guimaraes 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Gordon A. (Penalty Awarded),
- Extra Time (1 - 1)
- 91', Kroupi E. J. ↓, Senesi M. ↑,
- 95', Cook L. 🟨,
- 112', Scott A. ↓, Rees-Dottin R. ↑,
- 118', 3 - 2, Barnes H. ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
- 120+2', 3 - 3, Tavernier M. ⚽, Jimenez A. (A),
- Penalties (7 - 6)
- 1, Gordon A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Tavernier M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Woltemade N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Evanilson (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Bruno Guimaraes (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Cook L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Tonali S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Jimenez A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Joelinton (Penalty Awarded),
- 5, Senesi M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Hall L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 6, Hill J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Miley L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 7, Truffert A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Barnes H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 8, Smith A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Thiaw M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 9, Diakite B. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Newcastle United
60.1% | Draw
20.4% | Bournemouth
19.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle United's performance.Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Newcastle United - Bournemouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.77) |
4.6 ↑
(3.96) |
4.87 ↑
(4.12) |
5.6%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Bournemouth?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Newcastle (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Newcastle (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Newcastle United will win
(23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.57% – 94.05%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 0.
- Newcastle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bournemouth has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.3:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.3:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Bournemouth?
Newcastle United has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bournemouth won against Newcastle United?
Bournemouth has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Bournemouth were as follows:
21.09.2025
Bournemouth
-
Newcastle United
0:0
18.01.2025
Newcastle United
-
Bournemouth
1:4
25.08.2024
Bournemouth
-
Newcastle United
1:1
17.02.2024
Newcastle United
-
Bournemouth
2:2
11.11.2023
Bournemouth
-
Newcastle United
2:0
Latest results of Newcastle United
Latest results of Bournemouth
Draw
Main1/128-finals| 1 | Stoke | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Coventry | |
| 5 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Middlesbrough | |
| 9 | Stevenage | Chesterfield | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Crewe | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Southampton | |
| 13 | Cheltenham | Bradford City | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Buxton | Chatham | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Leicester | |
| 17 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 20 | Bye | Millwall | |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | Bye | |
| 23 | Gainsborough | Accrington | 1 : 2 |
| 24 | Mansfield | Harrogate | 3 : 2 |
| 25 | Portsmouth | Bye | |
| 28 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 29 | Preston | Bye | |
| 31 | Wigan | Hemel Hempstead | 2 : 1 |
| 32 | Spennymoor | Barrow | 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Wrexham | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 37 | Ipswich | Bye | |
| 39 | Blackpool | Scunthorpe | 1 : 0 |
| 40 | Reading | Carlisle | 2 : 3 |
| 41 | Hull | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Blackburn | |
| 45 | Charlton | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 49 | Port Vale | Maldon & Tiptree | 5 : 1 |
| 50 | Bromley | Bristol Rovers | 1 : 2 |
| 51 | Fleetwood | Barnet | 2 : 1 |
| 52 | Luton | Forest Green | 4 : 3 |
| 53 | Bristol City | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Watford | |
| 57 | Colchester | MK Dons | 2 : 3 |
| 58 | Oldham | Northampton | 3 : 1 |
| 60 | Bye | Oxford Utd | |
| 61 | Everton | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | Sunderland | |
| 65 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 68 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 69 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 72 | Bye | Bournemouth | |
| 73 | Manchester City | Bye | |
| 75 | FC Halifax | Exeter | 0 : 2 |
| 76 | Wycombe | Plymouth | 2 : 0 |
| 77 | Salford | Lincoln | 2 : 1 |
| 78 | Tamworth | Leyton Orient | 0 : 1 |
| 79 | Rotherham | Swindon | 1 : 2 |
| 80 | Bolton | Huddersfield | 2 : 1 |
| 81 | Grimsby | Ebbsfleet | 3 : 1 |
| 82 | Wealdstone | Southend | 1 : 0 |
| 83 | Chelmsford | Braintree | 4 : 1 |
| 84 | Weston-super-Mare | Aldershot | 2 : 1 |
| 85 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 87 | Sutton | AFC Telford | 2 : 1 |
| 88 | South Shields | Shrewsbury | 1 : 3 |
| 89 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 91 | Peterborough | Cardiff | 1 : 0 |
| 92 | Barnsley | York City | 3 : 2 |
| 93 | Manchester Utd | Bye | |
| 96 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 97 | Boreham Wood | Crawley | 3 : 0 |
| 98 | Newport | Gillingham | 3 : 2 |
| 99 | Brackley Town | Notts Co | 3 : 2 |
| 100 | Burton | St. Albans | 6 : 0 |
| 101 | West Ham | Bye | |
| 104 | Bye | QPR | |
| 105 | Slough | Altrincham | 2 : 1 |
| 106 | Macclesfield | AFC Totton | 6 : 3 |
| 108 | Bye | Crystal Palace | |
| 109 | Sheffield Wed | Bye | |
| 112 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 113 | Tranmere | Stockport County | 1 : 3 |
| 114 | Cambridge Utd | Chester | 3 : 0 |
| 116 | Bye | Birmingham | |
| 117 | Derby | Bye | |
| 120 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 121 | Norwich | Bye | |
| 123 | AFC Wimbledon | Gateshead | 0 : 2 |
| 124 | Eastleigh | Walsall | 0 : 3 |
| 125 | Swansea | Bye | |
| 128 | Bye | West Brom | |
1/64-finals| 1 | Stoke | Bye | |
| 2 | Bye | Coventry | |
| 3 | Fulham | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Middlesbrough | |
| 5 | Chesterfield | Doncaster | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Southampton | |
| 7 | Cheltenham | Buxton | 6 : 2 |
| 8 | Bye | Leicester | |
| 9 | Burnley | Bye | |
| 10 | Bye | Millwall | |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | Bye | |
| 12 | Accrington | Mansfield | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Portsmouth | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Arsenal | |
| 15 | Preston | Bye | |
| 16 | Wigan | Barrow | 3 : 2 |
| 17 | Wrexham | Bye | |
| 18 | Bye | Nottingham | |
| 19 | Ipswich | Bye | |
| 20 | Blackpool | Carlisle | 4 : 1 |
| 21 | Hull | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Blackburn | |
| 23 | Charlton | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Chelsea | |
| 25 | Port Vale | Bristol Rovers | 1 : 0 |
| 26 | Fleetwood | Luton | 3 : 2 |
| 27 | Bristol City | Bye | |
| 28 | Bye | Watford | |
| 29 | MK Dons | Oldham | 3 : 1 |
| 30 | Bye | Oxford Utd | |
| 31 | Everton | Bye | |
| 32 | Bye | Sunderland | |
| 33 | Tottenham | Bye | |
| 34 | Bye | Aston Villa | |
| 35 | Newcastle | Bye | |
| 36 | Bye | Bournemouth | |
| 37 | Manchester City | Bye | |
| 38 | Exeter | Wycombe | 4 : 0 |
| 39 | Salford | Leyton Orient | 4 : 0 |
| 40 | Swindon | Bolton | 4 : 0 |
| 41 | Grimsby | Wealdstone | 4 : 0 |
| 42 | Chelmsford | Weston-super-Mare | 0 : 2 |
| 43 | Wolves | Bye | |
| 44 | Sutton | Shrewsbury | 1 : 2 |
| 45 | Liverpool | Bye | |
| 46 | Peterborough | Barnsley | 0 : 1 |
| 47 | Manchester Utd | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Brighton | |
| 49 | Boreham Wood | Newport | 3 : 0 |
| 50 | Brackley Town | Burton | 1 : 3 |
| 51 | West Ham | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | QPR | |
| 53 | Slough | Macclesfield | 1 : 3 |
| 54 | Bye | Crystal Palace | |
| 55 | Sheffield Wed | Bye | |
| 56 | Bye | Brentford | |
| 57 | Stockport County | Cambridge Utd | 0 : 1 |
| 58 | Bye | Birmingham | |
| 59 | Derby | Bye | |
| 60 | Bye | Leeds | |
| 61 | Norwich | Bye | |
| 62 | Gateshead | Walsall | 0 : 2 |
| 63 | Swansea | Bye | |
| 64 | Bye | West Brom | |
1/32-finals| 1 | Stoke | Coventry | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Fulham | Middlesbrough | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Doncaster | Southampton | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | Leicester | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Burnley | Millwall | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | Sheffield Utd | Mansfield | 3 : 4 |
| 7 | Portsmouth | Arsenal | 1 : 4 |
| 8 | Preston | Wigan | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Wrexham | Nottingham | 4 : 3 |
| 10 | Ipswich | Blackpool | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Hull | Blackburn | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Charlton | Chelsea | 1 : 5 |
| 13 | Port Vale | Fleetwood | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Bristol City | Watford | 5 : 1 |
| 15 | MK Dons | Oxford Utd | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Everton | Sunderland | 1 : 2 |
| 17 | Tottenham | Aston Villa | 1 : 2 |
| 18 | Newcastle | Bournemouth | 4 : 3 |
| 19 | Manchester City | Exeter | 10 : 1 |
| 20 | Salford | Swindon | 3 : 2 |
| 21 | Grimsby | Weston-super-Mare | 3 : 2 |
| 22 | Wolves | Shrewsbury | 6 : 1 |
| 23 | Liverpool | Barnsley | 4 : 1 |
| 24 | Manchester Utd | Brighton | 1 : 2 |
| 25 | Boreham Wood | Burton | 0 : 5 |
| 26 | West Ham | QPR | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Macclesfield | Crystal Palace | 2 : 1 |
| 28 | Sheffield Wed | Brentford | 0 : 2 |
| 29 | Cambridge Utd | Birmingham | 2 : 3 |
| 30 | Derby | Leeds | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Norwich | Walsall | 5 : 1 |
| 32 | Swansea | West Brom | 2 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Stoke | Fulham | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Southampton | Leicester | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Burnley | Mansfield | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Arsenal | Wigan | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | Wrexham | Ipswich | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Hull | Chelsea | 0 : 4 |
| 7 | Port Vale | Bristol City | 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Oxford Utd | Sunderland | 0 : 1 |
| 9 | Aston Villa | Newcastle | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Manchester City | Salford | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Grimsby | Wolves | 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Liverpool | Brighton | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Burton | West Ham | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Macclesfield | Brentford | 0 : 1 |
| 15 | Birmingham | Leeds | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Norwich | West Brom | 3 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Fulham | Southampton | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Mansfield | Arsenal | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Wrexham | Chelsea | 2 : 4 |
| 4 | Port Vale | Sunderland | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle | Manchester City | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Wolves | Liverpool | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | West Ham | Brentford | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Leeds | Norwich | 3 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Southampton | Arsenal | |
| 2 | Chelsea | Port Vale | |
| 3 | Manchester City | Liverpool | |
| 4 | West Ham | Leeds | |
