Newcastle United vs Brentford: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

02/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. James' Park (Newcastle).

: Premier League - Round 30
Referee: Bankes P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.59
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
21	12
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
76% (303/398)	77% (324/421)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43	1.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.62	1.33
Total shots
21	12
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
9	3
Blocked Shots
8	6
Shots inside the Box
15	10
Shots outside the Box
6	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
35	35
Through passes
0% (0/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
12	12
Passes
76% (303/398)	77% (324/421)
Long passes
30% (13/43)	47% (37/79)
Passes in final third
67% (94/141)	59% (68/116)
Crosses
44% (4/9)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.67
Fouls
12	12
Tackles
86% (18/21)	55% (6/11)
Duels won
57	48
Clearances Total
32	20
Interceptions
7	8
Errors leading to shot
0	4
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
1.33	1.62
Goals prevented
0.33	-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, Isak A. ⚽, Murphy J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Janelt V. ↓, Damsgaard M. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Mbeumo B. (Pen),
66', Isak A. ↓, Wilson C. ↑,
66', Murphy J. ↓, Willock J. ↑,
70', Schar F. 🟨,
72', Lewis-Potter K. 🟨,
74', 2 - 1, Tonali S. ⚽, Barnes H. (A),
83', Pinnock E. ↓, Ajer K. ↑,
83', Yarmolyuk Y. ↓, Maghoma P. ↑,
89', Trippier K. ↓, Krafth E. ↑,
90+8', Barnes H. ↓, Miley L. ↑,

Chances of winning

Newcastle United
55.6%

Draw
22.1%

Brentford
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

21.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

22.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Newcastle United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Brentford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Newcastle United - Brentford Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 (1.73)	4.37 ↓ (4.43)	4.3 ↑ (4.24)	3.9% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Brentford?

Users Predictions: Newcastle United will win (43 of 51 users predict this - 84.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.33% – 94.29%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 11).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 4.
Recent matches Newcastle is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Brentford is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Newcastle is a favorite.
There will not play in Newcastle: Botman S. (Knee Injury) Gordon A. (Red Card) Hall L. (Foot Injury) Lascelles J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Brentford: Carvalho F. (Shoulder Injury) Dasilva J. (Knee Injury) Gustavo Nunes (Back Injury) Henry R. (Thigh Injury) Hickey A. (Inactive) Jensen M. (Illness) Thiago I. (Knee Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Newcastle won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 27:15 (average 2.5:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:6 (average 3:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Brentford?

Newcastle United has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Brentford won against Newcastle United?

Brentford has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Brentford were as follows:

18.12.2024 Newcastle United - Brentford 3:1

07.12.2024 Brentford - Newcastle United 4:2

19.05.2024 Brentford - Newcastle United 2:4

16.09.2023 Newcastle United - Brentford 1:0

08.04.2023 Brentford - Newcastle United 1:2

Latest results of Newcastle United

10.03.2025 West Ham United - Newcastle United 0:1 ✺

02.03.2025 Newcastle United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Liverpool - Newcastle United 2:0 ✺

23.02.2025 Newcastle United - Nottingham Forest 4:3 ✺

15.02.2025 Manchester City - Newcastle United 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Brentford

15.03.2025 Bournemouth - Brentford 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Brentford - Aston Villa 0:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Brentford - Everton 1:1 ✺

21.02.2025 Leicester City - Brentford 0:4 ✺

15.02.2025 West Ham United - Brentford 0:1 ✺

English Premier League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Everton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Manchester Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	West Ham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Burnley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Wolves	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Nottingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Relegation ~ Championship

Which TV channels are streaming of Newcastle United - Brentford?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	DStv Now, Showmax, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	SuperSport 7
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Play Diema Xtra
Canada	fubo Sports Network 6 DRM
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 5
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
France	Canal+ Live 4
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now E, Now Player, NOW Premier League 4
Iceland	Siminn Sport 3
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Jiocinema
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
Japan	U-NEXT
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mongolia	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	Sky Sport 3, Sky Sport NOW, TVWan Sports 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
Singapore	Hub Premier 5
South-africa	SuperSport Variety 3
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana, Max
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Thailand	True Premier Football 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fubo Sports Network, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock TV
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+