Institute FC vs Newington – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NIFL Championship - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)

Chances of winning


Institute FC
33%
Draw
25.6%
Newington
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 23.8% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 22.7% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Institute FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Institute FC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Institute FC - Newington Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.68)
    3.54
    (3.86)
    2.19
    (2.2)
    10.3%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Institute won 1.
    • Institute is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Newington has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Institute has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Institute won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Institute won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Institute FC - Newington were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Newington - Institute FC 4:1
    20.09.2025 Institute FC - Newington 0:1
    01.04.2025 Institute FC - Newington 3:3
    30.12.2024 Newington - Institute FC 2:0
    26.10.2024 Newington - Institute FC 0:1
    Latest results of Institute FC
    Latest results of Newington
    Northern Irish Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Annagh ✔ 30204649:242564
    2Limavady ✔ 30188451:302162
    3H&W Welders ✔ 30167772:353755
    4Loughgall301311644:291550
    5Newington301361160:461445
    6Queens Univ301011934:39-541
    7Institute301171242:40240
    8Ards291061343:42136
    9Warrenpoint291061341:40136
    10Ballinamallard30881435:47-1232
    11Dundela ✔ 30391834:68-3418
    12Armagh ✔ 30432326:91-6515

          Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )
          NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Annagh is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
    Limavady is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
    H&W Welders is Qualified for NIFL Championship (Promotion Group )
    Dundela is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )
    Armagh is NIFL Championship (Relegation Group )