Newport City vs Cardiff Draconians – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
10/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 14

Match Stats

Red Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 26', Kazadi E. 🟥,
  • 40', 1 - 0, McLaggon K. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 2 - 0, Hillman D. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Mallam L. ,
  • 90+3', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Newport City
50.7%
Draw
23.1%
Cardiff Draconians
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 22.7% 25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 23.2% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Newport City - Cardiff Draconians Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.75)
    3.92
    (4)
    3.47
    (3.57)
    10.1%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 6)
    • Newport City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cardiff Draconians is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Newport City is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Newport City
    Latest results of Cardiff Draconians
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cambrian United ✔ 26213268:185066
    2Trefelin ✔ 26213261:154666
    3Caerau Ely27155760:332750
    4Ammanford26148438:241450
    5Carmarthen Town271012537:33442
    6Aberystwyth261331032:32042
    7Llantwit Major2799940:38236
    8Newport City27810935:39-434
    9Treowen27971146:51-534
    10Cardiff Draconians251021336:39-332
    11Pontypridd26851342:46-429
    12Trethomas Bluebirds27681338:55-1726
    13Afan Lido27731726:52-2624
    14Baglan Dragons26581325:42-1723
    15Ynyshir Albions26561524:48-2421
    16Cwmbran Celtic24061818:61-436

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier