Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Mroz J. ,

Chances of winning


Cardiff Draconians
36.4%
Draw
24.8%
Newport City
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.2% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 25.8% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newport City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cardiff Draconians - Newport City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.29)
    3.66
    (3.57)
    2.33
    (2.84)
    10.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
    • Cardiff Draconians is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newport City is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cardiff Draconians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff Draconians won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Draconians - Newport City were as follows:
    10.12.2025 Newport City - Cardiff Draconians 2:1
    Latest results of Cardiff Draconians
    Latest results of Newport City
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin ✔ 29243278:176175
    2Cambrian United ✔ 29234272:195373
    3Ammanford29169447:252257
    4Caerau Ely29175766:343256
    5Carmarthen Town291112644:341045
    6Aberystwyth291341235:38-343
    7Cardiff Draconians291141446:47-137
    8Llantwit Major299101043:44-137
    9Newport City299101036:43-737
    10Treowen29971347:62-1534
    11Pontypridd29961446:51-533
    12Afan Lido29931731:53-2230
    13Trethomas Bluebirds296101344:61-1728
    14Baglan Dragons29591525:51-2624
    15Ynyshir Albions29571727:56-2922
    16Cwmbran Celtic29172124:76-5210

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
    Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier