Cardiff Draconians vs Newport City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
28/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', 0 - 1, Mroz J. ,

Chances of winning


Cardiff Draconians
36.4%
Draw
24.8%
Newport City
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 26.2% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 25.8% 33.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff Draconians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Newport City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newport City's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cardiff Draconians than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newport City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cardiff Draconians - Newport City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.29)
    3.66
    (3.57)
    2.33
    (2.84)
    10.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 9).
    • Cardiff Draconians is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newport City is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Cardiff Draconians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cardiff Draconians won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Draconians - Newport City were as follows:
    10.12.2025 Newport City - Cardiff Draconians 2:1
    Latest results of Cardiff Draconians
    Latest results of Newport City
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin30253283:176678
    2Cambrian United30244275:205576
    3Ammanford30179449:262360
    4Caerau Ely30176766:343257
    5Carmarthen Town301112745:38745
    6Aberystwyth301351235:38-344
    7Cardiff Draconians301241450:48240
    8Llantwit Major309101144:47-337
    9Treowen301071351:63-1237
    10Newport City309101136:48-1237
    11Pontypridd30971446:51-534
    12Afan Lido30931832:57-2530
    13Trethomas Bluebirds306111345:62-1729
    14Baglan Dragons305101526:52-2625
    15Ynyshir Albions30581727:56-2923
    16Cwmbran Celtic30172225:78-5310

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