Result
1:3
12/09/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Johnson S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 51', 1 - 1, Cooper L. ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, Garrett L. ⚽,
- 70', 1 - 3, Garrett L. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Pontypridd United 33.5% | Draw 27.2% | Newport City 39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pontypridd United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pontypridd United's performance.Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newport City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pontypridd United than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pontypridd United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport City than the current prediction. (+14.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newport City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pontypridd United - Newport City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.07 ↓ (3.9) |
3.79 ↑ (3.78) |
2.62 ↑ (1.73) |
-2.8% (9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
- Recent form of Pontypridd has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Newport City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Newport City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pontypridd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Pontypridd won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Pontypridd United won against Newport City?
Pontypridd United has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newport City won against Pontypridd United?
Newport City has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pontypridd United - Newport City were as follows:
10.01.2025
Pontypridd United
-
Newport City
0:2
27.09.2024
Newport City
-
Pontypridd United
0:1
Latest results of Pontypridd United
Latest results of Newport City
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Cambrian United | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 22:3 | 19 | 18 |
2 | Newport City | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Trefelin | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 14 |
4 | Ammanford | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 14 |
5 | Carmarthen Town | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Caerau Ely | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
7 | Aberystwyth | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
8 | Baglan Dragons | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 6 |
9 | Cardiff Draconians | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
10 | Llantwit Major | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Treowen | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Afan Lido | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 6 |
13 | Ynyshir Albions | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 5 |
14 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
15 | Pontypridd | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:19 | -15 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation