Newport County vs Walsall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Rodney Parade (Newport).

League Two - Round 15
Referee: Atkinson B. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	3.06
Ball Possession
69%	31%
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
3	10
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
80% (347/435)	57% (107/188)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81	3.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.25	4.48
Total shots
12	17
Shots on target
3	10
Shots off target
6	4
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
8	13
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
24	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	3
Free Kicks
14	10
Passes
80% (347/435)	57% (107/188)
Long passes
42% (28/67)	28% (17/60)
Passes in final third
52% (50/96)	38% (29/76)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	33% (4/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.87	0.94
Throw-ins
25	23
Fouls
10	14
Tackles
57% (8/14)	62% (8/13)
Duels won
53	51
Clearances
41	25
Interceptions
3	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
4.48	1.25
Goals prevented
0.48	-0.75

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 3)
16', 1 - 0, Whitmore K. ⚽, Garner G. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Kanu D. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Finnigan R. ⚽,
29', Thomas J. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
38', 1 - 3, Finnigan R. ⚽,
44', 2 - 3, Garner G. ⚽, Baker-Richardson C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Ogunneye H. 🟨,
50', Flint A. 🟨,
52', 2 - 4, Browne R. ⚽, Weir E. (A),
57', Braybrooke S. 🟨,
61', Barrett C. 🟨,
61', Lloyd B. 🟨,
65', Whitmore K. 🟨,
69', Whitmore K. ↓, Reindorf M. ↑,
69', Lloyd B. ↓, Kamwa B. ↑,
70', Pressley A. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
77', Browne R. ↓, Farquharson P. ↑,
78', Finnigan R. ↓, Warrington L. ↑,
78', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
90+2', Weir E. ↓, Okeke J. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Newport County
22.6%

Draw
26.7%

Walsall
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

26.4%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

26.3%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newport County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Newport County - Walsall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↓ (4.33)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	1.85 ↑ (1.79)	6.4% (7.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Newport County - Walsall?

Users Predictions: Walsall will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Walsall will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
Newport is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Walsall's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Newport may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Walsall is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Newport: Patten K. (Broken Leg) Shephard L. (Hamstring Injury) Smith M. (Back Injury)
There will not play in Walsall: Hancock M. (Knee Injury) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Newport: Baker M. (Inactive) Opoku N. (Injury) Warner J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Walsall: Burke H. (Knee Injury)
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Newport won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Walsall?

Newport County has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Walsall won against Newport County?

Walsall has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Walsall were as follows:

21.04.2025 Newport County - Walsall 0:0

29.12.2024 Walsall - Newport County 2:0

10.02.2024 Walsall - Newport County 0:3

20.10.2023 Newport County - Walsall 3:3

18.02.2023 Walsall - Newport County 1:1

Latest results of Newport County

01.11.2025 Newport County - Gillingham 3:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Harrogate Town - Newport County 0:3 ✺

18.10.2025 Newport County - Cheltenham Town 0:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Accrington Stanley - Newport County 0:1 ✺

07.10.2025 Cardiff City - Newport County 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Walsall

02.11.2025 Eastleigh - Walsall 0:3 ✺

28.10.2025 Walsall - Chelsea U21 1:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Cheltenham Town - Walsall 1:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Walsall - Barrow 1:2 ✺

11.10.2025 Crawley Town - Walsall 1:1 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League