Jaguares de Chiapas vs Neza – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:1
28/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Premier Serie A - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, ,
  • 28', 1 - 1, ,
  • 39', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (4 - 0)
  • 58', 3 - 1, ,
  • 68', 4 - 1, ,
  • 71', 5 - 1, ,
  • 90', 6 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Jaguares de Chiapas
77.2%
Draw
13.1%
Neza
9.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 19% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 13.9% 19.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaguares de Chiapas's performance.
  • Neza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-28.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaguares de Chiapas that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neza than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.18
    (1.38)
    6.97
    (4.84)
    9.38
    (6.43)
    9.8%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Chiapas (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.75, 1st Half - Chiapas (3.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Chiapas (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 11).
    • Chiapas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Neza has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Chiapas is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Chiapas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Jaguares de Chiapas - Neza were as follows:
    12.10.2025 Neza - Jaguares de Chiapas 1:1
    Latest results of Neza
    22.02.2026 Neza - Montañeses 0:5
    31.01.2026 Celaya - Neza 6:0
    17.01.2026 Racing de Veracruz - Neza 2:1
    Draw
    Reserves - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Cimarrones de SonoraMineros de Fresnillo1 : 1
    2Leones Negros 2Celaya0 : 5

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2